Climate change has a considerable impact on irrigated agriculture, which is vital for food and fiber production. In this study, in the context of climate change, simulation model CROPWAT 8 was employed to compute the reference evapotranspiration, and net irrigation water requirement for wheat, barley, maize, sugar beet, potato, tomato, and date palm. In addition, the WaterGEMS model was utilized to design a new sprinkler irrigation system to run long-term simulations of hydraulic behavior within pressurized pipe networks to irrigate 43 acres for two arid sites (Siwa Oasis and West Elminya fields) inside the 1.5-million-acre groundwater irrigation project in the Egyptian western desert. Five scenarios for climate change were employed in the current (1991–2023), representative concentration path (RCP) 8.5 greenhouse gas emission scenarios for the 2040s, 2060s, 2080s, and 2100s. Mean ETo values for the current scenario show 4.56 and 5.7 mm for the Siwa Oasis and West Elminya fields, respectively. The climate changes cause an increase of the reference evapotranspiration by 4.6, 5.9, 9.4, and 12.7% for RCP: 8.5 greenhouse gas emissions for the 2040s, 2060s, 2080s, and 2100s scenarios, respectively, for the Siwa Oasis field. On the other hand, an increased ratio for the reference evapotranspiration by 4.2, 5.4, 8.6, and 11.6% was observed for the scenarios in the West Elminya field, respectively. The designed sprinkler system indicated a capacity of 111.4 m3 h−1 and 167 m3 h−1 for Siwa and West Elminya fields, respectively. The study suggests using crop patterns for wheat, barley, potato, and sugar beet to save irrigation water.
Graphical abstract