Assessing changes to ecosystem service values at large geographic scale: A case study for Australia’s Great Barrier Reef

Stoeckl, Natalie; Condie, Scott A.; Anthony, Ken

doi:10.1016/j.ecoser.2021.101352

Cited by 11 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 92 publications

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“…Spatial diversification was an important adaptive response to climate disturbance on coral reefs as hypothesized by other authors (Hoegh-Guldberg et al 2019;Stoeckl et al 2021). About half of the operators relocated to different reef sites on their tours in response to bleaching impacts.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 63%

“…Notably, relief measures and the changing of tour activities were most often implemented as the primary response to impacts from cyclones. Thus we found that impacts from cyclones led a significant fraction of resource users to diversify their livelihoods away from their preferred ecosystem (Hoegh-Guldberg et al 2019 ; Stoeckl et al 2021 ). Our findings complement other empirical research that suggests microeconomic actors are likely to diversify their livelihoods in response to environmental change (Hossain et al 2018 ; Barnes et al 2020 ).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 95%

“…Disturbance severity measures the spatial severity of the climate disturbance for a particular operator in terms of what fraction of the reef sites they were using were severely affected. Prior studies have argued that the severity of impacts on coral reefs might affect the availability of adaptation alternatives for tourism operators, for example their ability to relocate to healthy reef areas (Hoegh-Guldberg et al 2019 ; Stoeckl et al 2021 ). We followed previous research that identified severe bleaching as more than a third of a reef being affected (Hughes et al 2018 ).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Rapid degradation of coral reefs has implications for local resource users (Ostrom 2009 ; Cinner et al 2013 ) and consequently has wider socio-economic ramifications. To understand these, better theoretical frameworks and more information are needed about how resource users are impacted by, and are adapting to, the loss of coral reefs (Pendleton et al 2016 ; Comte and Pendleton 2018 ; Hoegh-Guldberg et al 2019 ; Stoeckl et al 2021 ).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Microeconomic adaptation to severe climate disturbances on Australian coral reefs

Bartelet

Barnes

Cumming

2022

Ambio

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Coral reefs are increasingly affected by climate-induced disturbances that are magnified by increasing ocean temperatures. Loss of coral reefs strongly affects people whose livelihoods and wellbeing depend on the ecosystem services reefs provide. Yet the effects of coral loss and the capacity of people and businesses to adapt to it are poorly understood, particularly in the private sector. To address this gap, we surveyed about half (57 of 109) of Australian reef tourism operators to understand how they were affected by and responded to severe impacts from bleaching and cyclones. Reef restoration and spatial diversification were the primary responses to severe bleaching impacts, while for cyclone-impacts coping measures and product diversification were more important. Restoration responses were strongly linked to the severity of impacts. Our findings provide empirical support for the importance of response diversity, spatial heterogeneity, and learning for social-ecological resilience.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 63%

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 95%

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Microeconomic adaptation to severe climate disturbances on Australian coral reefs

Bartelet

Barnes

Cumming

2022

Ambio

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“…The Great Barrier Reef (GBR) is one of the world's most vulnerable regional ecosystems (Lenton et al, 2019), with the increasing frequency of mass bleaching events under climate change (De'ath et al, 2012;Hughes et al, 2017) combining with the impacts of tropical cyclones and outbreaks of the coraleating crown-of-thorns starfish (CoTS) (Pratchett et al, 2014) to degrade reef health and reduce associated ecosystem services (Cinner et al, 2018;Stoeckl et al, 2021). Intervention and adaptation measures aimed at preserving the GBR will require major investment decisions that need to be based on rigorous assessments of risk.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Changing the climate risk trajectory for coral reefs

Condie

2022

Front. Clim.

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Coral reefs are extremely vulnerable to climate change and their recent degradation will continue unless we can instigate strong global climate action with effective regional interventions. Many types of intervention have been proposed and some aspects of their deployment are now being tested. However, their long-term efficacy under climate change can only be evaluated using complex biophysical models applied over a range of plausible socio-economic pathways. The associated uncertainties in climate trajectories, ecological responses, and the mitigating effects of interventions, necessitate the use of a risk-based approach to evaluating model results. I show that ensemble modeling can be used to develop rigorous risk assessments suitable for comparing intervention strategies. A major strength of this approach is that all the key elements required for risk assessment (exposure, sensitivity, adaptive capacity, and impacts) can be generated by the model in a dynamically consistent form. This is a major advance on semi-quantitative climate change vulnerability risk assessments that estimate these quantities independently and then combine them under additional assumptions. Applying ensemble modeling risk assessment to the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) suggests that regional intervention strategies, such as solar radiation management (SRM) and control of coral predators, can slow the increase in risk and potentially avoid extreme risks predicted for the second half of the century. Model results further suggest that deployments focused within the northern and central GBR will be most effective due to underlying patterns of reef connectivity.

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Testing the reliability of adaptive capacity as a proxy for adaptive and transformative responses to climate change

Bartelet

Barnes

Bakti

et al. 2023

Global Environmental Change

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Assessing changes to ecosystem service values at large geographic scale: A case study for Australia’s Great Barrier Reef

Cited by 11 publications

References 92 publications

Microeconomic adaptation to severe climate disturbances on Australian coral reefs

Microeconomic adaptation to severe climate disturbances on Australian coral reefs

Changing the climate risk trajectory for coral reefs

Testing the reliability of adaptive capacity as a proxy for adaptive and transformative responses to climate change

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