Chapter 7 Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Uses (AFOLU) CH 4 MtCH 4 yr -1 157.0 ± 47.1 c 207.5 ± 62.2 364.4 ± 109.3 -iGtCO 2 -eq yr -1 4.2 ± 1.3 g 5.9 ± 1.8 10.2 ± 3.0 41%N 2 O MtN 2 O yr -1 6.6 ± 4.0 c 2.8 ± 1.7 9.4 ± 5.6GtCO 2 -eq yr -1 1.8 ± 1.1 g 0.8 ± 0.5 2.6 ± 1.5 69%
Total jGtCO 2 -eq yr -111.9 ± 4.4 (CO 2 component based on book-keeping models, managed soils and pasture) 44 ± 3.4 55.9 ± 6.1 21% a Estimates are given until 2019 as this is the latest date when data are available for all gases, consistent with Chapter 2, this report. Positive fluxes are emission from land to the atmosphere. Negative fluxes are removals. b Net anthropogenic flux of CO 2 are due to land-use change such as deforestation and afforestation and land management, including wood harvest and regrowth, peatland drainage and fires, cropland and grassland management. Average of three bookkeeping models (Hansis et al. 2015; Houghton and Nassikas 2017; Gasser et al. 2020), complemented by data on peatland drainage and fires from FAOSTAT (Prosperi et al. 2020) and GFED4s (van der Werf et al. 2017). Bookkeeping based CO 2 -LULUCF emissions (5.7±4.0) are consistent with AR6 WGI and Chapter 2 of this report. The value of 5.9(±4.1) includes CO 2 emissions from urea application to managed soils and pasture. Comparisons with other estimates are discussed in 7.2.2. Based on NGHGIs and FAOSTAT, the range is 0 to 0.8 GtCO 2 yr -1 . c CH 4 and N 2 O emission estimates and assessed uncertainty of 30 and 60% respectively, are based on Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR) data (Crippa et al. 2021) in accordance with Chapter 2, this report (Sections 2.2.1.3 and 2.2.1.4). Both FAOSTAT (Tubiello 2019; USEPA 2019; FAO 2021a) and the USA EPA (USEPA 2019) also provide data on agricultural non-CO 2 emissions, however, mean global CH 4 and N 2 O values considering the three databases are within the uncertainty bounds of EDGAR. EDGAR only considers agricultural and not overall AFOLU non-CO 2 emissions. Agriculture is estimated to account for approximately 89 and 96% of total AFOLU CH 4 and N 2 O emissions respectively. See Section 7.2.3 for further discussion.d Total non-AFOLU emissions are the sum of total CO 2 -eq emissions values for energy, industrial sources, waste and other emissions with data from the Global Carbon Project for CO 2 , including international aviation and shipping, and from the PRIMAP database for CH 4 and N 2 O averaged over 2007-2014, as that was the period for which data were available. e The modelled CO 2 estimates include natural processes in vegetation and soils and how they respond to both natural climate variability and to human-induced environmental changes, for example, the response of vegetation and soils to environmental changes such as increasing atmospheric CO 2 concentration, nitrogen deposition, and climate change (indirect anthropogenic effects) on both managed and unmanaged lands. The estimate shown represents the average from 17 Dynamic Global Vegetation Models with 1SD uncertainty (Friedlingstei...