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This study presents a comprehensive flood vulnerability assessment for Freetown, Sierra Leone, spanning the period from 2001 to 2022. The objective of this research was to assess the temporal and spatial changes in the flood vulnerability using Geographic Information System (GIS) tools and AHP-based Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) analysis. This study identified the flood-vulnerable zones (FVZs) by integrating critical factors such as the rainfall, NDVI, elevation, slope, drainage density, TWI, distance to road, distance to river, and LULC. The analysis reveals that approximately 60% of the study area is classified as having medium to high vulnerability, with a significant 20% increase in the flood risk observed over the past two decades. In 2001, very-high-vulnerability zones covered about 68.84 km2 (10% of the total area), with high-vulnerability areas encompassing 137.68 km2 (20%). By 2020, very-high-vulnerability zones remained constant at 68.84 km2 (10%), while high-vulnerability areas decreased to 103.26 km2 (15%), and medium-vulnerability zones expanded from 206.51 km2 (30%) in 2001 to 240.93 km2 (35%). The AHP model-derived weights reflect the varied significance of the flood-inducing factors, with rainfall (0.27) being the most critical and elevation (0.04) being the least. A consistency ratio (CR) of 0.068 (< 0.1) confirms the reliability of these weights. The spatial–temporal analysis highlights the east and southeast regions of Freetown as consistently vulnerable over the years, while infrastructure improvements in other areas have contributed to a general decrease in very-high-vulnerability zones. This research highlights the urgent need for resilient urban planning and targeted interventions to mitigate future flood impacts, offering clear insights into the natural and human-induced drivers of the flood risk for effective hazard mitigation and sustainable urban development.
This study presents a comprehensive flood vulnerability assessment for Freetown, Sierra Leone, spanning the period from 2001 to 2022. The objective of this research was to assess the temporal and spatial changes in the flood vulnerability using Geographic Information System (GIS) tools and AHP-based Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) analysis. This study identified the flood-vulnerable zones (FVZs) by integrating critical factors such as the rainfall, NDVI, elevation, slope, drainage density, TWI, distance to road, distance to river, and LULC. The analysis reveals that approximately 60% of the study area is classified as having medium to high vulnerability, with a significant 20% increase in the flood risk observed over the past two decades. In 2001, very-high-vulnerability zones covered about 68.84 km2 (10% of the total area), with high-vulnerability areas encompassing 137.68 km2 (20%). By 2020, very-high-vulnerability zones remained constant at 68.84 km2 (10%), while high-vulnerability areas decreased to 103.26 km2 (15%), and medium-vulnerability zones expanded from 206.51 km2 (30%) in 2001 to 240.93 km2 (35%). The AHP model-derived weights reflect the varied significance of the flood-inducing factors, with rainfall (0.27) being the most critical and elevation (0.04) being the least. A consistency ratio (CR) of 0.068 (< 0.1) confirms the reliability of these weights. The spatial–temporal analysis highlights the east and southeast regions of Freetown as consistently vulnerable over the years, while infrastructure improvements in other areas have contributed to a general decrease in very-high-vulnerability zones. This research highlights the urgent need for resilient urban planning and targeted interventions to mitigate future flood impacts, offering clear insights into the natural and human-induced drivers of the flood risk for effective hazard mitigation and sustainable urban development.
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