2017
DOI: 10.1257/aer.p20171119
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Assessing the Rate of Replication in Economics

Abstract: We assess the rate of replication for empirical papers in the 2010 American Economic Review. Across 70 empirical papers, we find that 29 percent have 1 or more citation that partially replicates the original result. While only a minority of papers has a published replication, a majority (60 percent) have either a replication, robustness test, or an extension. Surveying authors within the literature, we find substantial uncertainty over the number of extant replications.

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Cited by 50 publications
(29 citation statements)
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“…The resulting collection of papers covered a range of topics including examination of the replication rate in economics (Berry et al, 2017); alternative initiatives to promote the replication rate in economics including the role of journals, the provision of data and code, and the adoption of ideas in other disciplines (Chang et al, 2017;Coffman et al, 2017;Höffler, 2017); meta analyses not being an alternative to replication (Anderson and Kichkha, 2017); the factors underlying the replication of studies, with Google scholar citation counts found a prominent issue (Sukhtankar, 2017).…”
Section: Replication In Economics and Other Disciplinesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The resulting collection of papers covered a range of topics including examination of the replication rate in economics (Berry et al, 2017); alternative initiatives to promote the replication rate in economics including the role of journals, the provision of data and code, and the adoption of ideas in other disciplines (Chang et al, 2017;Coffman et al, 2017;Höffler, 2017); meta analyses not being an alternative to replication (Anderson and Kichkha, 2017); the factors underlying the replication of studies, with Google scholar citation counts found a prominent issue (Sukhtankar, 2017).…”
Section: Replication In Economics and Other Disciplinesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A few recent papers attempt to address this issue and estimate the “natural rate of replication” in economics. First, Berry et al () focus on all the empirical papers published in the centenary volume (2010) of the American Economic Review , and manually code all their published citations as either replications, robustness tests, extensions, or none of the above. They find that less than a third of the 70 papers have been replicated at least once, where a replication is defined as a project “speaking directly to the veracity of the original paper.” Validating the assertion that the visibility of replications is low, Berry et al () find considerable uncertainty among the authors of the original papers over the number of extant replications of their studies.…”
Section: Dozen Thingsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…First, Berry et al () focus on all the empirical papers published in the centenary volume (2010) of the American Economic Review , and manually code all their published citations as either replications, robustness tests, extensions, or none of the above. They find that less than a third of the 70 papers have been replicated at least once, where a replication is defined as a project “speaking directly to the veracity of the original paper.” Validating the assertion that the visibility of replications is low, Berry et al () find considerable uncertainty among the authors of the original papers over the number of extant replications of their studies. Second, Sukhtankar () analyzes 1056 empirical papers in development economics published in the top 10 general interest journals between 2000 and 2015, perform a reverse citation search, then search within the ensuing list for “replication” or alternative cognates.…”
Section: Dozen Thingsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…According to Duvendack et al (2017) a broad definition of replication is a study that determines the validity of one or more empirical results from an original published study. Berry et al (2017) consider a replication to be "any project that reports results that speak directly to the veracity of the original paper's main hypothesis. "…”
Section: What Does Replication Entail?mentioning
confidence: 99%