Assessment and forecasting of the subsurface drain of the Aral Sea, Central Asia

Panichkin, Vladimir; Sagin, Jay; Miroshnichenko, Oxana; Trushel, L.; Zakharova, N. M.; Yerikuly, Zhaiyk; Livinsky, Yu. N.

doi:10.1080/00207233.2017.1280321

Cited by 6 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 41 publications

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“…The area of the lake shrank by 75% from its original size from 1975 to 2007 [45]. Panichkin et al [46] assessed the subsurface drainage to the Aral Sea and concluded that although the reductions of the Syr Darya and Amu Darya Rivers flows are the main contributors to the desiccation of the Aral Sea, intensive groundwater abstractions also contributed to the disaster.…”

Section: Central Asiamentioning

confidence: 99%

Essentials of Endorheic Basins and Lakes: A Review in the Context of Current and Future Water Resource Management and Mitigation Activities in Central Asia

Yapiyev

Sagin

Inglezakis

et al. 2017

Water

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Abstract:Endorheic basins (i.e., land-locked drainage networks) and their lakes can be highly sensitive to variations in climate and adverse anthropogenic activities, such as overexploitation of water resources. In this review paper, we provide a brief overview of one major endorheic basin on each continent, plus a number of endorheic basins in Central Asia (CA), a region where a large proportion of the land area is within this type of basin. We summarize the effects of (changing) climate drivers and land surface-atmosphere feedbacks on the water balance. For the CA region, we also discuss key anthropogenic activities, related water management approaches and their complex relationship with political and policy issues. In CA a substantial increase in irrigated agriculture coupled with negative climate change impacts have disrupted the fragile water balance for many endorheic basins and their lakes. Transboundary integrated land and water management approaches must be developed to facilitate adequate climate change adaptation and possible mitigation of the adverse anthropogenic influence on endorheic basins in CA. Suitable climate adaptation, mitigation and efficient natural resource management technologies and methods are available, and are developing fast. A number of these are discussed in the paper, but these technologies alone are not sufficient to address pressing water resource issues in CA. Food-water-energy nexus analyses demonstrate that transboundary endorheic basin management requires transformational changes with involvement of all key stakeholders. Regional programs, supported by local governments and international donors, which incorporate advanced adaptation technologies, water resource research and management capacity development, are essential for successful climate change adaptation efforts in CA. However, there is a need for an accelerated uptake of such programs, with an emphasis on unification of approaches, as the pressures resulting from climate change and aggravated by human mismanagement of natural water resources leave very little time for hesitation.

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Section: Central Asiamentioning

confidence: 99%

Essentials of Endorheic Basins and Lakes: A Review in the Context of Current and Future Water Resource Management and Mitigation Activities in Central Asia

Yapiyev

Sagin

Inglezakis

et al. 2017

Water

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“…Water distribution systems in CA lack proper transparency, and water saving incentives, including IT-based water monitoring with climate change and anthropogenic distractions prediction analysis (Mashtayeva et al, 2016;Panichkin et al, 2017). The CTRB, including surface-groundwater resources, are in permanent debates about the water usage in the area (ORDA, 2024;UNECE, 2021).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modelling Habitat Suitability and Distribution of the Endemic Mindanao Horned Frog (Pelobatrachus stejnegeri) and its Response to Changing Climate

Lobite

2024

GJNR

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Climate change is already affecting biodiversity, with special concern to endemics whose range is restricted and limited. This study focuses on the Mindanao horned frog (Pelobatrachus stejnegeri), an endemic species to the Philippines, susceptible to climate-induced habitat changes. Using MaxEnt species distribution model (SDM), the current and future (year 2050 projections) habitat suitability and distribution of P. stejnegeri were modelled. Results showed that annual mean temperature, elevation, and annual precipitation were the environmental variables having the highest influence on P. stejnegeri's distribution. The model predicts a significant range contraction under representative concentration pathways (RCP) future scenarios (RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5), with a more pronounced decrease in distribution (31.72%) under the high emission scenario (RCP 8.5). These findings emphasize the vulnerability of P. stejnegeri to climate change and highlight the importance of integrating SDM into conservation and management strategies to protect endemic species under changing climatic conditions.

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Pollution with trace elements and rare-earth metals in the lower course of Syr Darya River and Small Aral Sea, Kazakhstan

et al. 2019

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Assessment and forecasting of the subsurface drain of the Aral Sea, Central Asia

Cited by 6 publications

References 41 publications

Essentials of Endorheic Basins and Lakes: A Review in the Context of Current and Future Water Resource Management and Mitigation Activities in Central Asia

Essentials of Endorheic Basins and Lakes: A Review in the Context of Current and Future Water Resource Management and Mitigation Activities in Central Asia

Modelling Habitat Suitability and Distribution of the Endemic Mindanao Horned Frog (Pelobatrachus stejnegeri) and its Response to Changing Climate

Pollution with trace elements and rare-earth metals in the lower course of Syr Darya River and Small Aral Sea, Kazakhstan

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