Assessment of Future Climate Trend Based on Multi-RCMs Models and Its Impact on Groundwater Recharge of the Mediterranean Coastal Aquifer of Ghis-Nekkor (Morocco)

Asri, Hanane; Larabi, Abdelkader; Faouzi, Mohamed

doi:10.1007/978-3-030-78566-6_1

Cited by 3 publications

(1 citation statement)

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“…The aridity increases when the value of the index decreases. At the global level, (De Martonne, 1926;El Asri, Larabi and Faouzi, 2022) proposed six significant types of macroclimates ranging from the desert or hyperarid zones (I < 5) to the humid zones with predominantly forest (I > 40). Exceptional precipitation and other aggregates characterize the hyper-arid zones.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Change and Decision Support Using the Computer Tool Instat for El Ganzra Region, Morocco

ELFANNE¹,

BOUTCHKKOUCHT²,

HASSANI³

et al. 2022

AgricultForest

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If the scarcity of water resources and their limitation is a characteristic of the climate of Morocco, this phenomenon seems to know a distinct accentuation during the last decades. But, on the other hand, the scarcity of this resource and the drought are the main constraints of agricultural production; the situation then is more alarming. Although scientists in the region have developed many technologies to cope with these environmental problems, the difference between the yields achievable by farmers and the potential yields generally remains huge in rainfed and irrigated areas.This paper develops the problem of rainfed agriculture in the Khemisset region, El Ganzra site, in the constraining context of climate change and natural resources degradation. Indeed, several measures are necessary to cope with these climate changes; therefore, we propose a method of agro-climatic analysis of the first significant rains. Our investigations, which are part of the decision support approach, are based on choosing the suitable period for sowing cereals using the "InStat" tool. The method used is based on a quantitative approach, allowing us to study the Spatio-temporal variability of precipitation and the analysis of drought intensity on the site. Consequently, the modelling makes it possible to propose scenarios to farmers regarding sowing dates and crop selection at the appropriate time.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Change and Decision Support Using the Computer Tool Instat for El Ganzra Region, Morocco

ELFANNE¹,

BOUTCHKKOUCHT²,

HASSANI³

et al. 2022

AgricultForest

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Ci̇zre’de (Şirnak) Aylik Ve Yillik Ortalama Sicakliklarin Eği̇li̇m Anali̇zi̇ (1963-2021)

Avci

2023

Fırat Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi

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Bu çalışmada Cizre ilçesinde aylık ve yıllık ortalama sıcaklıklarda yaşanan eğilimlerin analiz edilmesi amaçlanmıştır. Çalışmada Cizre ilçesi Meteoroloji İstasyonuna ait 59 yıllık veriler kullanılarak aylık ve yıllık ortalama sıcaklıklarda pozitif ya da negatif yönde bir eğilim olup olmadığı ortaya konmuştur. Cizre’nin çalışma alanı olarak belirlenmesinin nedeni ülkemizde ortalama sıcaklıkların en yüksek olduğu alanlardan biri olması ve bu alanda iklim değişikliğinin etkilerinin ortaya konulmasıdır. Bu çalışmada Mann-Kendall Trend Test ve Linear Trend Model analiz yöntemleri kullanılmıştır. Sıcaklıklardaki eğilimler Mann-Kendall yöntemi belirlenmiş, geleceğe yönelik tahminler Linear Trend yöntemi ile yapılmıştır. Analiz sonuçlarıyla, Şubat, Nisan, Mayıs, Haziran, Temmuz, Ağustos, Eylül, Ekim ve Aralık ayı ortalama sıcaklıkları ile yıllık ortalama sıcaklıklarda pozitif yönde bir eğilimin olduğu belirlenmiştir. Pozitif yönlü eğilimler ilkbahar ve yaz mevsiminde belirgindir. Linear trend analiz sonuçlarına göre aylık ve yıllık ortalama sıcaklık ortalamalarındaki artış da devam edecektir. Sıcaklık ortalamalarında tespit edilen pozitif yönlü bu eğilimin kuraklık şiddetini artırması olasıdır. Pamuk tarımı başta olmak üzere tarımsal faaliyetlerin bu durumdan etkileneceği, içme, sulama ve kullanma suyu temininde sorunlar yaşanacağı, enerji üretiminin olumsuz etkileneceği açıktır. Bu nedenle su kaynaklarının bilinçli kullanımı ile iklim değişikliğinin etkilerinin azaltılmasına yönelik gerekli çalışmaların başlatılması önem arz etmektedir.

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Climate change risks on key open marine and coastal Mediterranean ecosystems

HASSOUN,

MOJTAHID,

MERHEB

et al. 2024

Preprint

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Mediterranean open marine and coastal ecosystems face multiple risks, due to climate change, that impact their unique biodiversity. To assess these risks and evaluate their confidence levels, we adopt the scenario-based approach of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), relying on a review of literature projecting changes in Mediterranean Sea ecosystems. The main drivers of environmental change are sea level rise, ocean warming and acidification. Similar to global conditions, all Mediterranean ecosystems face high risks under all climate scenarios, with coastal ecosystems being more strongly impacted than open marine ecosystems. For these coastal ecosystems, risk levels are expected to become very high already once global warming exceeds 0.8°C with respect to the 1976–2005 period. A few Mediterranean ecosystems (e.g., coralligenous and rocky coasts) have greater adaptive capacity than all others, probably because of the long evolutionary history in this sea and the presence of a variety of climatic and hydrological conditions. Overall, due to the higher observed and projected rates of climate change in the Mediterranean, compared to global trends, for variables such as seawater temperature and pH, marine ecosystems (particularly coastal) are projected to be under higher risks compared to the global ocean.

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Assessment of Future Climate Trend Based on Multi-RCMs Models and Its Impact on Groundwater Recharge of the Mediterranean Coastal Aquifer of Ghis-Nekkor (Morocco)

Cited by 3 publications

References 5 publications

Climate Change and Decision Support Using the Computer Tool Instat for El Ganzra Region, Morocco

Climate Change and Decision Support Using the Computer Tool Instat for El Ganzra Region, Morocco

Ci̇zre’de (Şirnak) Aylik Ve Yillik Ortalama Sicakliklarin Eği̇li̇m Anali̇zi̇ (1963-2021)

Climate change risks on key open marine and coastal Mediterranean ecosystems

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