2019
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6365
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Assessment of uncertainty in multi‐model means of downscaled South Florida precipitation for projected (2019–2099) climate

Abstract: South Florida resource management, particularly the Everglades restoration effort, is beginning to consider projections of precipitation from multiple climate models for decision‐making. Because precipitation changes can significantly affect the Everglades ecosystem, characterization of precipitation projection uncertainty is important for resource management decisions, and reduction of uncertainty is desired for better decision‐making. Though uncertainty of precipitation projections has been characterized for… Show more

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Cited by 3 publications
(8 citation statements)
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“…We also note that the no threshold changes in AMJJAS are overshadowed by ONDJFM; thus, the annual mean projected change is wet. These projected changes in the nonsubsetted and in the subsetted suite agree with those in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report and Infanti et al (2019).…”
Section: Earth and Space Sciencesupporting
confidence: 82%
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“…We also note that the no threshold changes in AMJJAS are overshadowed by ONDJFM; thus, the annual mean projected change is wet. These projected changes in the nonsubsetted and in the subsetted suite agree with those in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report and Infanti et al (2019).…”
Section: Earth and Space Sciencesupporting
confidence: 82%
“…The AMJJAS change is weak (compared to annual mean and NDJFM changes) and displays large variations across models, particularly in the location of the shift from dry to wet. This change is discussed in more detail in Infanti et al (2019). The leading hypothesis for this pattern of change is that interocean temperature differences cause Caribbean drying (Lee et al, 2010;Rauscher et al, 2010).…”
Section: Earth and Space Sciencementioning
confidence: 95%
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