Assessment of Water Disaster Resilience in Mountainous Urban Metro Stations by Combination Weighting Method and Extension Cloud Model

Abstract

Studying the resilience of metro stations in mountainous cities to heavy rain and flooding is of significant importance for enhancing the stability and safety of metro station operations. Considering the topographical and climatic characteristics of mountainous urban areas, this study analyzes the mechanisms through which heavy rain and flooding affect metro station resilience. Based on this analysis, 27 factors, influencing metro station resilience, are identified across 4 dimensions: absorptive capacity, resistance capacity, recovery capacity, and adaptive capacity. A water disaster resilience evaluation index system and corresponding rating standards are established for metro stations in mountainous cities. By combining the advantages of objective and subjective weighting, the combination weights of evaluation indicators are calculated using game theory. The extension theory is combined with the cloud model to establish a model for assessing the water disaster resilience of metro stations in mountainous urban areas. The applicability and feasibility of the model are validated through its implementation at Shapingba Station within Chongqing Rail Transit. The evaluation results obtained from the established model indicate a resilience level of IV for Shapingba metro station, reflecting a high level of resilience that aligns with real-world conditions. These findings further validate the proposed evaluation standards and the method for assessing the water disaster resilience of metro stations based on the combination weighting method and extension cloud model. This evaluation method considers the uncertainty in the evaluation process, demonstrating good feasibility and reliability. It offers a new perspective and methodology for assessing and analyzing the resilience of similar metro stations in mountainous cities.