“…Among these 59 surrogate endpoint trials that had a subsequent clinical endpoint trial, in 24 cases the clinical endpoint trial results validated the positive surrogate trials, while in 20 the subsequent clinical endpoint trial was negative (Table 3). 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50 A negative surrogate endpoint trial was less likely to be followed by a positive outcome trial and we identified only 3 such examples ( P =0.02, Figure 2). …”