The creation of a system for predicting the nature of the course of the acute phase of ulcerative colitis (UC) would be able to block possible complications and other life-threatening variants of the development of the pathological process with timely preventive therapy. The purpose of the study. To formulate an effective methodology and create effective decisive rules for predicting the nature of the course of diseases of the digestive system in the phase of acute phenomena of the pathological process on the example of UC for justification based on the prognostic conclusion of the volume, content and intensity of individual therapy. Material, methods and results of the study. 366 patients with UC were examined (men - 213, women - 153). Age of patients: from 18 to 78 years. Patients with distal colitis - 211, with left-sided colitis - 68, with subtotal - 66, with total - 21. Acute course of UC occurred in 167 patients. All other 199 patients had a relapse of the chronic course of UC. At the same time, 140 patients had a rare recurrence of the disease, and 59 patients often had a recurrent course. We observed a chronic continuously recurrent course of UC in 14 patients out of 59 patients. The use of mathematical forecasting methods in the form of an inhomogeneous sequential procedure, discriminant and cluster analyses used in the construction of the prognostic program made it possible to identify from a large number of clinical signs of UC 28 the most significant symptoms of the acute phase of the disease for prognosis and to give them an appropriate quantitative characteristic. The developed computer program, which individually summarizes the prognostic coefficients of each patient, provides the clinician with information about the degree of risk of developing an “unfavorable” course of the disease (complications, hormonal resistance, hormonal dependence, extra-intestinal manifestations, etc.) or assumes a “favorable” course of UC: a rapid adequate response of the body to standard therapeutic measures. Conclusion. The materials of the article allow us to accurately predict the course of UC in the acute phase of the disease, which can serve as a methodological and methodological basis for further progressive scientific movement in solving more significant and global problems in gastroenterology