Background
Covid-19 disease causes significant morbidity and mortality through increase inflammation and thrombosis. Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) are states of chronic inflammation and indicate advanced metabolic disease. The purpose of this observational study was to characterize the risk of hospitalization for Covid-19 in patients with NAFLD/NASH and evaluate the mitigating effect of various metabolic treatments.
Methods
Retrospective analysis of electronic medical record data of 26,896 adults from a 12-hospital Midwest healthcare system with a positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR from March 1, 2020 to Jan 26, 2021. Variable selection was guided by LASSO and multiple imputation was used to account for missing data. Multivariable logistic regression and competing risk models were used to assess odds of being hospitalized within 45 days of Covid-19 diagnosis. Analysis assessed the risk of hospitalization among patients with a prescription for metformin and statin use within the 3 months prior to the SARS-CoV-2 PCR result, history of home glucagon-like-peptide 1 receptor agonist (GLP-1 RA) use, and history of metabolic and bariatric surgery (MBS). Interactions were assessed by gender and race.
Results
A history of NAFLD/NASH was associated with increased odds of admission for Covid-19, (OR 1.88 95% CI 1.57-2.26, p<0.001)) and mortality (OR 1.96, 95% CI 1.45-2.67, p < 0.001). Each additional year of having NAFLD/NASH was associated with a significant increased risk of being hospitalized for Covid-19 (OR 1.24 95% CI 1.14-1.35, p<0.001). NAFLD/NASH increased risk of hospitalization in men, but not women, and increased risk of hospitalization in all non-white racial/ethnic subgroups. Medication treatments for metabolic syndrome were associated with significantly reduced risk of admission: OR 0.81 (0.67-0.99, p<0.001) for home metformin use and OR 0.71 (0.65-0.83, p<0.001) for home statin use. MBS was associated with a significant decreased risk of admission: OR 0.48 (0.33-0.69, p<0.001).
Conclusions
NAFLD/NASH is a significant risk factor for hospitalization for Covid-19, and appears to account for risk attributed to obesity. Other significant risks include factors associated with socioeconomic status and other comorbidities, such as history of venous thromboembolism. Treatments for metabolic disease mitigated risks from NAFLD/NASH. More research is needed to confirm risk associated with visceral adiposity, and patients should be screened for and informed of treatments for metabolic syndrome.