Background
Repolarization abnormalities are associated with ventricular arrhythmias and published studies report that a reversal of T wave polarity (positive or flat T wave) in lead aVR may be linked to increased cardiovascular mortality. We aimed to evaluate whether a positive or flat T wave in aVR is a risk marker for sudden cardiac death (SCD).
Methods
SCD Cases from the Oregon Sudden Unexpected Death Study (catchment population ~ 1 million) were compared to geographic controls with coronary artery disease and no history of SCD. Archived electrocardiograms performed prior and unrelated to the SCD event were evaluated.
Results
SCD cases (n=691, 67.6 ± 14.9 yrs, 69% male) were more likely than controls (n=663, 66.2 ± 11.6 yrs, 67% male) to have diabetes (40% vs 32%; p<0.01), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤ 35% (27% vs 11%; p<0.01), prolonged QTc (≥ 450ms; 54% vs 28%; p<0.01), positive (19% vs 13%; p<0.01) or flat T wave (14% vs 7%; p<0.01) in aVR. On multivariable analysis, a positive/flat T wave in aVR was independently associated with SCD (OR 1.9, 95% CI 1.3–2.8, p<0.01). However, a positive T wave alone in aVR lost statistical significance in patients with LVEF ≤ 35% and QTc ≥ 450ms. In a subgroup analysis among patients with normal LVEF, QTc, and no diabetes, a positive T wave in aVR (but not a flat T wave) remained associated with SCD (OR 2.8, 95% CI 1.2–6.1, p<0.01).
Conclusions
A positive or flat T wave in lead aVR was associated with SCD in subsets of patients. This simple ECG marker in the often-ignored lead may contribute to enhancement of SCD risk stratification, and warrants further evaluation.