Asthma-prone areas modeling using a machine learning model

Razavi-Termeh, Seyed Vahid; Sadeghi‐Niaraki, Abolghasem; Choi, Soo-Mi

doi:10.1038/s41598-021-81147-1

Cited by 44 publications

(18 citation statements)

References 39 publications

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“…The base estimators in this ensemble algorithm are decision trees trained with randomly selected samples and sample features [85]. This learning technique has performed well in large-scale problems or where the number of variables is more than observations [86]. In RF, all trees contribute to the result, and samples are predicted by averaging or voting between trees' predictions [10].…”

Section: Random Forest Algorithmmentioning

confidence: 99%

Evaluation of Tree-Based Machine Learning Algorithms for Accident Risk Mapping Caused by Driver Lack of Alertness at a National Scale

et al. 2021

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Drivers’ lack of alertness is one of the main reasons for fatal road traffic accidents (RTA) in Iran. Accident-risk mapping with machine learning algorithms in the geographic information system (GIS) platform is a suitable approach for investigating the occurrence risk of these accidents by analyzing the role of effective factors. This approach helps to identify the high-risk areas even in unnoticed and remote places and prioritizes accident-prone locations. This paper aimed to evaluate tuned machine learning algorithms of bagged decision trees (BDTs), extra trees (ETs), and random forest (RF) in accident-risk mapping caused by drivers’ lack of alertness (due to drowsiness, fatigue, and reduced attention) at a national scale of Iran roads. Accident points and eight effective criteria, namely distance to the city, distance to the gas station, land use/cover, road structure, road type, time of day, traffic direction, and slope, were applied in modeling, using GIS. The time factor was utilized to represent drivers’ varied alertness levels. The accident dataset included 4399 RTA records from March 2017 to March 2019. The performance of all models was cross-validated with five-folds and tree metrics of mean absolute error, mean squared error, and area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC-AUC). The results of cross-validation showed that BDT and RF performance with an AUC of 0.846 were slightly more accurate than ET with an AUC of 0.827. The importance of modeling features was assessed by using the Gini index, and the results revealed that the road type, distance to the city, distance to the gas station, slope, and time of day were the most important, while land use/cover, traffic direction, and road structure were the least important. The proposed approach can be improved by applying the traffic volume in modeling and helps decision-makers take necessary actions by identifying important factors on road safety.

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Section: Random Forest Algorithmmentioning

confidence: 99%

Evaluation of Tree-Based Machine Learning Algorithms for Accident Risk Mapping Caused by Driver Lack of Alertness at a National Scale

et al. 2021

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“…3 Studies show that weather triggers, such as temperature, humidity, air pressure, and wind, cause asthma attacks. [4][5][6] Weather impact is specific to individual asthmatic patients due to their lung performance, which varies among patients. This depends on their demographic characteristics, such as age and gender.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…7 Geographical location is also a factor because the association between weather triggers and asthma is inconsistent in different climate regions. 4 Although asthma cannot be cured, avoiding exposure to weather triggers through asthma self-management can minimise the risk of asthma exacerbation. 8 Recently, there have been attempts to develop mHealth applications to assist asthma self-management.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Optimised deep neural network model to predict asthma exacerbation based on personalised weather triggers

Haque

Chai

et al. 2021

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Background – Recently, there have been attempts to develop mHealth applications for asthma self-management. However, there is a lack of applications that can offer accurate predictions of asthma exacerbation using the weather triggers and demographic characteristics to give tailored response to users. This paper proposes an optimised Deep Neural Network Regression (DNNR) model to predict asthma exacerbation based on personalised weather triggers. Methods – With the aim of integrating weather, demography, and asthma tracking, an mHealth application was developed where users conduct the Asthma Control Test (ACT) to identify the chances of their asthma exacerbation. The asthma dataset consists of panel data from 10 users that includes 1010 ACT scores as the target output. Moreover, the dataset contains 10 input features which include five weather features (temperature, humidity, air-pressure, UV-index, wind-speed) and five demography features (age, gender, outdoor-job, outdoor-activities, location). Results – Using the DNNR model on the asthma dataset, a score of 0.83 was achieved with Mean Absolute Error (MAE)=1.44 and Mean Squared Error (MSE)=3.62. It was recognised that, for effective asthma self-management, the prediction errors must be in the acceptable loss range (error<0.5). Therefore, an optimisation process was proposed to reduce the error rates and increase the accuracy by applying standardisation and fragmented-grid-search. Consequently, the optimised-DNNR model (with 2 hidden-layers and 50 hidden-nodes) using the Adam optimiser achieved a 94% accuracy with MAE=0.20 and MSE=0.09. Conclusions – This study is the first of its kind that recognises the potentials of DNNR to identify the correlation patterns among asthma, weather, and demographic variables. The optimised-DNNR model provides predictions with a significantly higher accuracy rate than the existing predictive models and using less computing time. Thus, the optimisation process is useful to build an enhanced model that can be integrated into the asthma self-management for mHealth application.

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“…Wheezing, coughing, and shortness of breath are common asthma symptoms caused by a combination of genetic and environmental conditions. In other words, asthma is caused by genetically susceptible individuals being exposed to environmental risk factors [7]. The occurrence of asthma is influenced by genetic predisposition, environmental influences such as climatic parameters, air pollution, allergens, and airborne chemical irritants [4,8].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Spatial Modeling of Asthma-Prone Areas Using Remote Sensing and Ensemble Machine Learning Algorithms

2021

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In this study, asthma-prone area modeling of Tehran, Iran was provided by employing three ensemble machine learning algorithms (Bootstrap aggregating (Bagging), Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), and Stacking). First, a spatial database was created with 872 locations of asthma patients and affecting factors (particulate matter (PM10 and PM2.5), ozone (O3), sulfur dioxide (SO2), carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), rainfall, wind speed, humidity, temperature, distance to street, traffic volume, and a normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI)). We created four factors using remote sensing (RS) imagery, including air pollution (O3, SO2, CO, and NO2), altitude, and NDVI. All criteria were prepared using a geographic information system (GIS). For modeling and validation, 70% and 30% of the data were used, respectively. The weight of evidence (WOE) model was used to assess the spatial relationship between the dependent and independent data. Finally, three ensemble algorithms were used to perform asthma-prone areas mapping. According to the Gini index, the most influential factors on asthma occurrence were distance to the street, NDVI, and traffic volume. The area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) values for the AdaBoost, Bagging, and Stacking algorithms was 0.849, 0.82, and 0.785, respectively. According to the findings, the AdaBoost algorithm outperforms the Bagging and Stacking algorithms in spatial modeling of asthma-prone areas.

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Asthma-prone areas modeling using a machine learning model

Cited by 44 publications

References 39 publications

Evaluation of Tree-Based Machine Learning Algorithms for Accident Risk Mapping Caused by Driver Lack of Alertness at a National Scale

Evaluation of Tree-Based Machine Learning Algorithms for Accident Risk Mapping Caused by Driver Lack of Alertness at a National Scale

Optimised deep neural network model to predict asthma exacerbation based on personalised weather triggers

Spatial Modeling of Asthma-Prone Areas Using Remote Sensing and Ensemble Machine Learning Algorithms

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