Author Correction: Reopening businesses and risk of COVID-19 transmission

O’Donoghue, Ashley L.; Dechen, Tenzin; Pavlova, Whitney; Boals, Michael; Moussa, Garba; Madan, Manvi; Thakkar, Aalok; DeFalco, Frank; Stevens, Jennifer P.

doi:10.1038/s41746-021-00444-1

Cited by 2 publications

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“…We believe that behavioral noncompliance is one of the leading explanations for this phenomenon. Given the importance of “superspreader” events in COVID-19 transmission (Dave et al 2020b ) and the evidence that post-April, movement patterns increased (O’Donoghue et al, 2020 ), it does suggest that the reopening of America in late April, 2020 and early May, 2020 led to significant rises in COVID-19 cases.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The efficiency of COVID cases to COVID policies: a robust conditional approach

2022

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This paper examines the efficiency of four major COVID-19 social distancing policies: (i) shelter-in-place orders (SIPO), (ii) non-essential business closures, (iii) mandatory quarantine for travelers, and (iv) bans on large gatherings. Results suggest that the average US state is highly inefficient in producing the fraction of the population that does not have COVID-19 without social distancing policies put in place. We find that having any of the four major social distancing policies increases conditional efficiency by 9.7 (9.5) percentage points in the first 100 days (full sample). This corresponds to 57 (172) fewer total COVID-19 cases per 100,000 population in the first 100 days (full sample). We also find that population density accounts for a majority of unconditional state inefficiency. Evidence suggests considerable heterogeneity in conditional efficiency improvement, indicating that no uniform national social distancing policy would have been more effective; more effective strategies would have been to target more densely populated areas. Conditional efficiency regressions suggest that bans on large gatherings were the most effective policies, with SIPOs and non-essential business closures having smaller impacts. States that implemented social distancing policies except mandatory quarantine for traveler policies were highly effective for the first 100 days, but had less effectiveness over the full sample. There is also preliminary evidence that premature revocations of social distancing policies reduced conditional efficiency, leading to COVID-19 case spikes.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The efficiency of COVID cases to COVID policies: a robust conditional approach

2022

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“…By the time of writing, mid-2021, the pandemic seemed to be coming under control with schools and businesses poised to reopen in North America (Kaufman et al, 2021 ; O’Donoghue et al, 2021 ). The value of education outdoors was made obvious by several authors who pointed to lower transmission rates outside versus inside (Cowe & Danks, 2021 ; Grossman, 2020 ).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Preparing for the next pandemic: adopt, adapt or improve?

Priest¹

2022

Journal of Outdoor and Environmental Education

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This article offers the risky proposition of forecasting the future. The often paraphrased quote of Peter Drucker, famous European management guru, applies here. He was fond of pointing out how predicting the future can be likened to driving backwards down a dark and isolated country road at night with no lights, while looking out the back window via the rear view mirror. Instead, his wisdom suggested inventing the very future we want. We had best start now. Despite COVID-19 persisting in many countries, this article shares tactics from several strategic approaches to preparing for the next pandemic: accept the current practices (adopt), modify to suit new conditions (adapt), or find a different and better way (improve). The author favours improve.

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Author Correction: Reopening businesses and risk of COVID-19 transmission

Abstract: A Correction to this paper has been published: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41746-021-00444-1

Cited by 2 publications

References 0 publications

The efficiency of COVID cases to COVID policies: a robust conditional approach

The efficiency of COVID cases to COVID policies: a robust conditional approach

Preparing for the next pandemic: adopt, adapt or improve?

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