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The waterflooding implementation in an Amazonian oil field has been a game-changer in the field development strategy, becoming the main production drive mechanism and investment focus. About 40% of the daily oil production comes from waterflooding projects. Hence, it is imperative to preserve integrated reservoir and field operation management through a customized pattern balancing methodology that accounts for a need to optimize the injection-extraction relationship minimizing early water breakthrough and avoiding operational issues. This article presents a waterflooding pattern analysis tool that combines data-driven and physics-based Machine Learning models with a smart optimization workflow. This publication focuses on the theoretical foundation of the deployable prototype, which is based mainly on the application of an innovative physics data driven and ML model as well as its testing procedure. The tool has been tested in an area with nine deviated water injector wells and thirty-six deviated/horizontal producer wells, enabling quick analysis response based on different What-If and optimization scenarios. Users can assess the impact on production and waterflooding response by modifying operational parameters such as injection rates or liquid flow rates, or how to react if an oil-producing/water-injection well fails. The engineering and operation teams use and share a tool that avoids personalized spreadsheets with off-dated information and non-auditable metrics behind the results. The data preparation capabilities of the new tool speed up the interaction of data-driven and physics models and make a more efficient data flow process integrated with Capacitance Resistance Model (CRM) (Yousef et al. 2005) analytic model. The teams experienced a step-change in productivity by reducing a complete iteration analysis from 23 to 5 hours. The optimization workflow generates possible injector-producer relationships for pattern analysis and short (weekly) and mid-term (90-day) forecasts. Users can test different scenarios, choose the optimum, and submit subsurface focused well-operating recommendations to field operations.
The waterflooding implementation in an Amazonian oil field has been a game-changer in the field development strategy, becoming the main production drive mechanism and investment focus. About 40% of the daily oil production comes from waterflooding projects. Hence, it is imperative to preserve integrated reservoir and field operation management through a customized pattern balancing methodology that accounts for a need to optimize the injection-extraction relationship minimizing early water breakthrough and avoiding operational issues. This article presents a waterflooding pattern analysis tool that combines data-driven and physics-based Machine Learning models with a smart optimization workflow. This publication focuses on the theoretical foundation of the deployable prototype, which is based mainly on the application of an innovative physics data driven and ML model as well as its testing procedure. The tool has been tested in an area with nine deviated water injector wells and thirty-six deviated/horizontal producer wells, enabling quick analysis response based on different What-If and optimization scenarios. Users can assess the impact on production and waterflooding response by modifying operational parameters such as injection rates or liquid flow rates, or how to react if an oil-producing/water-injection well fails. The engineering and operation teams use and share a tool that avoids personalized spreadsheets with off-dated information and non-auditable metrics behind the results. The data preparation capabilities of the new tool speed up the interaction of data-driven and physics models and make a more efficient data flow process integrated with Capacitance Resistance Model (CRM) (Yousef et al. 2005) analytic model. The teams experienced a step-change in productivity by reducing a complete iteration analysis from 23 to 5 hours. The optimization workflow generates possible injector-producer relationships for pattern analysis and short (weekly) and mid-term (90-day) forecasts. Users can test different scenarios, choose the optimum, and submit subsurface focused well-operating recommendations to field operations.
The surveillance team in an oilfield has the difficult task of maximizing hydrocarbon production while delaying water production to achieve optimum profitability. For instance, in a waterflooded asset, it needs to intelligently allocate the available injection water to achieve a balanced sweep of oil across the reservoir. A sound understanding of the subsurface flow and inter-well communication is essential here, but the team rarely has access to high-fidelity tools that can help them understand the reservoir behavior. Reservoir simulation models encapsulate all the acquired data along with the interpretations of the subsurface teams and are thus ideal tools to base such decisions on but are seldom used in operations as the associated workflows do not conform to the fast decision-making timeframe. This paper presents a system that leverages cloud scalability, automation, and data analytics to extract insights from subsurface models and generate timely operational advice. The solution connects subsurface models with real-time production data through a cloud-based data platform to automate the update of models with the latest production data. An optimizer is employed that uses streamline-based properties to determine the optimum operating settings for the injection and production wells. The optimization objective can be tailored to align with the asset management goals, such as reducing water recycling and balancing recovery or voidage across the field. The outputs from the subsurface model are translated into actionable insights through a dashboard of fit-for-purpose analytics that presents operational recommendations along with the forecasted outcomes. The system also performs a series of domain-derived confidence checks on the model to quantify the reliability of the recommendations generated. A virtual field management framework is used that captures all the field operating constraints. The entire workflow is automated and can be scheduled to run at a defined frequency so that the surveillance team always has access to proposed actions based on the latest production conditions. To further accelerate the time to decision, machine learning-based avatars of the full subsurface model and reduced-order representations can be integrated into the framework. A case study is presented that describes the application of this subsurface model-driven operational optimization system to a field in the Amazon basin, South America. Using the solution, the subsurface modeling, production surveillance, and operations teams were able to work together to identify opportunities for reducing water recycling and increasing oil production while considerably accelerating the decision-making process due to automation and focused analytics. The paper demonstrates how the latest digital technologies have removed the barriers to the use of detailed subsurface models in guiding operations. The framework described can be used to improve the operational decision-making in any hydrocarbon asset regardless of the recovery mechanism.
Two robust data driven models based on machine learning (ML) and artificial neural network (ANN) methods were introduced to overcome the shortcomings of physical and virtual well testing in Gulf of Suez offshore fields. The aim of these new models is to use the existing data and create a precise/easily accessible tool that fill the gap in well monitoring and testing system to predict wells fluid rate, improve field optimization and properly allocate oil production. A comprehensive methodology was applied to build/verify a robust virtual model as following: 1) Analyzing General Energy Equation to select the relevant inputs, 2) Data Collection, 3) Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA), 4) Feature Engineering, 5) Machine Learning Model Selection, 6) Hyper-parameters Fine Tuning, 7) Developing Artificial Neural Network model, 8) Models Deployment. Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) and the General Energy Equation were used to select ten main parameters affecting the model’s accuracy. The selected features include wellhead pressure, wellhead temperature, reservoir temperature, reservoir pressure, water gravity, difference between reservoir and bubble point pressure, watercut percent, injection gas, downstream pressure, and tubing type. Different machine learning models based on linear, support vector machine, decision trees and gradient boosting methods were programmed. The results of these models were compared based on coefficient of determination (R2 score), root mean square error (rmse), mean absolute error (mae), and mean absolute percentage error (mape). XGboost regressor was selected as the best model, then the model hyper parameters were fine-tuned using grid search method. The final model results of test dataset showed R2 score, rmse, mae and mape of 0.9674, 323, 227 and 13.1% respectively. Furthermore, ANN was created and fine-tuned to select the model architecture. The model was evaluated using the same train and test data where the model showed comparable results to the best ML models. The results of ANN model showed R2 score, rmse, mae and mape of 0.9603, 357, 241 and 13.7%. respectively.
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