Barriers to the development of China's shale gas industry

Wan, Zheng; Huang, Tao; Craig, Brian

doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2014.04.073

Cited by 48 publications

(21 citation statements)

References 10 publications

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“…Previous work on shale gas has identified the risks associated with geological conditions [18,19], technology [20,21], yield prediction [22][23][24], and strategic and government policy [6,[25][26][27]], yet less attention has been paid to overall industry development risks [5,[28][29][30]. Processing of minerals is associated with a number of development risks, including various economic, environmental and social issues [31].…”

Section: Developing the Risk Assessment Systemmentioning

confidence: 99%

Using BP Neural Networks to Prioritize Risk Management Approaches for China’s Unconventional Shale Gas Industry

Dong

Gehman

et al. 2017

Sustainability

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This article is motivated by a conundrum: How can shale gas development be encouraged and managed without complete knowledge of the associated risks? To answer this question, we used back propagation (BP) neural networks and expert scoring to quantify the relative risks of shale gas development across 12 provinces in China. The results show that the model performs well with high predictive accuracy. Shale gas development risks in the provinces of Sichuan, Chongqing, Shaanxi, Hubei, and Jiangsu are relatively high (0.4~0.6), while risks in the provinces of Xinjiang, Guizhou, Yunnan, Anhui, Hunan, Inner Mongolia, and Shanxi are even higher (0.6~1). We make several recommendations based on our findings. First, the Chinese government should promote shale gas development in Sichuan, Chongqing, Shaanxi, Hubei, and Jiangsu Provinces, while considering environmental, health, and safety risks by using demonstration zones to test new technologies and tailor China's regulatory structures to each province. Second, China's extremely complex geological conditions and resource depths prevent direct application of North American technologies and techniques. We recommend using a risk analysis prioritization method, such as BP neural networks, so that policymakers can quantify the relative risks posed by shale gas development to optimize the allocation of resources, technology and infrastructure development to minimize resource, economic, technical, and environmental risks. Third, other shale gas industry developments emphasize the challenges of including the many parties with different, often conflicting expectations. Government and enterprises must collaboratively collect and share information, develop risk assessments, and consider risk management alternatives to support science-based decision-making with the diverse parties.

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Section: Developing the Risk Assessment Systemmentioning

confidence: 99%

Using BP Neural Networks to Prioritize Risk Management Approaches for China’s Unconventional Shale Gas Industry

Dong

Gehman

et al. 2017

Sustainability

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show abstract

“…The remaining category is directed toward studying the challenges and strategies of shale gas development in China, and this is the area where most researchers focus [4,[16][17][18][19][20][21][22]. Hu and Xu [4] argue that a lack of key technologies, environmental risks, a shortage of water and a method of how to create a good industry-community relation are challenges facing China's shale gas development.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Wan et al. [21] analyze some man-made institutional barriers limiting China's shale gas development. In addition, the factors influencing the Chinese shale gas sector are raised by other researchers, such as Wang et al [8], Wang et al [16], Zhai et al [17] and Zhang [22].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…However, there is still no consensus among them. Some researchers suggest that technical problems are the primary obstacles hindering shale gas development in China [19,20], while others argue that man-made institutional barriers are the main restrictive factors [21,22]. It is obvious that the existing studies confuse the barriers to Chinese shale gas development in the short run with the obstacles in the medium and long term.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The Status, Obstacles and Policy Recommendations of Shale Gas Development in China

Dong

et al. 2015

Sustainability

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Abstract:The Chinese government has introduced numerous policies and development plans to boost its shale gas industry in recent years. However, China's shale gas exploration and development is still in the initial stage and has been confronted with many challenges. This paper systematically analyzes the current status of China's shale gas industry from five aspects for the first time-resource situation, exploration and development status, policy and planning situation, technology status and international cooperation-then respectively elaborates on the different obstacles of shale gas development in the short run and the medium and long term. We argue that short-term barriers to the Chinese shale gas industry mainly include objective factors, such as geological and surface conditions, shale gas proven reserves, technology innovation and environmental concerns, while some man-made obstacles (except for water scarcity) may restrict shale gas development in the medium and long term. In order to better tackle the short-term challenges, this paper proposes policy recommendations from five perspectives: strengthening the investigation and evaluation of China's shale gas resources; perfecting shale gas industry policy; establishing a national shale gas comprehensive experimental zone; enhancing scientific and technological research; and establishing a shale gas regulatory system with an emphasis on environmental protection and supervision.

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“…China has the largest population in the world; and according to Wan et al (2014) it has the single largest natural gas reserve and a technically recoverable volume put at 67% more than that of the US.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Methane emissions from oil and gas transport facilities – exploring innovative ways to mitigate environmental consequences

Anifowose

Odubela

2015

Journal of Cleaner Production

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Barriers to the development of China's shale gas industry

Cited by 48 publications

References 10 publications

Using BP Neural Networks to Prioritize Risk Management Approaches for China’s Unconventional Shale Gas Industry

Using BP Neural Networks to Prioritize Risk Management Approaches for China’s Unconventional Shale Gas Industry

The Status, Obstacles and Policy Recommendations of Shale Gas Development in China

Methane emissions from oil and gas transport facilities – exploring innovative ways to mitigate environmental consequences

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