Bayesian Statistical Inference

Iversen, Gudmund R.

doi:10.4135/9781412983501

Cited by 113 publications

(68 citation statements)

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“…In this study the type of distribution varied by parameter, but was consistent with prior experience about which type of distribution would be appropriate for the type and nature of the data available. 91,300 Despite these efforts, the precise definition of parameter distributions for some variables was limited, as in some cases it was difficult to fit a distribution to the few data available.…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

The clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of screening for open angle glaucoma: a systematic review and economic evaluation

Burr¹,

Mowatt²,

Hernández³

et al. 2007

Health Technol Assess

330

380

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Non-UK purchasers will have to pay a small fee for post and packing. For European countries the cost is £2 per monograph and for the rest of the world £3 per monograph.You can order HTA monographs from our Despatch Agents:-fax (with credit card or official purchase order) -post (with credit card or official purchase order or cheque) -phone during office hours (credit card only).Additionally the HTA website allows you either to pay securely by credit card or to print out your order and then post or fax it. NHS libraries can subscribe free of charge. Public libraries can subscribe at a very reduced cost of £100 for each volume (normally comprising 30-40 titles). The commercial subscription rate is £300 per volume. Please see our website for details. Subscriptions can only be purchased for the current or forthcoming volume. Contact details are as follows: Payment methods Paying by chequeIf you pay by cheque, the cheque must be in pounds sterling, made payable to Direct Mail Works Ltd and drawn on a bank with a UK address. Paying by credit cardThe following cards are accepted by phone, fax, post or via the website ordering pages: Delta, Eurocard, Mastercard, Solo, Switch and Visa. We advise against sending credit card details in a plain email. Paying by official purchase orderYou can post or fax these, but they must be from public bodies (i.e. NHS or universities) within the UK. We cannot at present accept purchase orders from commercial companies or from outside the UK. How do I get a copy of HTA on CD?Please use the form on the HTA website (www.hta.ac.uk/htacd.htm). Or contact Direct Mail Works (see contact details above) by email, post, fax or phone. HTA on CD is currently free of charge worldwide.The website also provides information about the HTA Programme and lists the membership of the various committees. HTA NIHR Health Technology Assessment ProgrammeT he Health Technology Assessment (HTA) programme, now part of the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR), was set up in 1993. It produces high-quality research information on the costs, effectiveness and broader impact of health technologies for those who use, manage and provide care in the NHS. 'Health technologies' are broadly defined to include all interventions used to promote health, prevent and treat disease, and improve rehabilitation and long-term care, rather than settings of care. The research findings from the HTA Programme directly influence decision-making bodies such as the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) and the National Screening Committee (NSC). HTA findings also help to improve the quality of clinical practice in the NHS indirectly in that they form a key component of the 'National Knowledge Service'. The HTA Programme is needs-led in that it fills gaps in the evidence needed by the NHS. There are three routes to the start of projects. First is the commissioned route. Suggestions for research are actively sought from people working in the NHS, the public and consumer groups and professional bodies such as r...

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mentioning

confidence: 99%

The clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of screening for open angle glaucoma: a systematic review and economic evaluation

Burr¹,

Mowatt²,

Hernández³

et al. 2007

Health Technol Assess

330

380

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

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“…For students with limited perceived mathematical aptitude, concepts like significance level, power of a test, sampling distribution, and confidence interval have been difficult to understand fully and interpret correctly (Iversen 1984). The p-value is calculated on the assumption of the null hypothesis (Ho) being true.…”

Section: Teaching Bayes' Rule In a Liberal Arts Statistics Coursementioning

confidence: 99%

Teaching an Application of Bayes' Rule for Legal Decision-Making: Measuring the Strength of Evidence

Satake

Murray

2014

Journal of Statistics Education

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Although Bayesian methodology has become a powerful approach for describing uncertainty, it has largely been avoided in undergraduate statistics education. Here we demonstrate that one can present Bayes' Rule in the classroom through a hypothetical, yet realistic, legal scenario designed to spur the interests of students in introductory-and intermediate-level statistics classes. The teaching scenario described in this paper not only illustrates the practical application of Bayes' Rule to legal decision-making, but also emphasizes the cumulative nature of the Bayesian method in measuring the strength of the evidence. This highlights the Bayesian method as an alternative to the traditional inferential methods, such as p value and hypothesis tests. Within the context of the legal scenario, we also introduce DNA analysis, implement a modified version of Bayes' Rule, and utilize Bayes' Factor in the computation process to further promote students' intellectual curiosities and incite lively discussion pertaining to the jury decision-making process about the defendant's status of guilt.

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“…It seems possible that when participants are told the disconfirming information comes from the same sample, then variability will serve to moderate the weight given to the prior mean. In this scenario, a more variable distribution may lead people to have a more 'fuzzy' estimate of the central tendency of the original sample, and thus be more likely to revise their beliefs about the central tendencies when they encounter anomalous data (Iversen, 1984).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Proceedings of the 9th Conference of the Australasian Society for Cognitive Science

2010

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. Submissions to the conference were reviewed by the Program Committee, who came up with an excellent program of 106 presented papers (in three parallel-track sessions, and including eight submitted symposia) and 20 posters (on show throughout the conference, but highlighted in an enjoyable poster session over drinks on day 2). The full program, along with other information about the conference, remains online at http://www.maccs.mq.edu.au/ascs09. The Australasian Society for Cognitive Science has had an intermittent formal existence, driven mainly by the organization of its string of enjoyable, successful, and highly sociable conferences, which have taken place roughly every two years since the inaugural conference, organized by Peter Slezak, at the University of New South Wales in 1990 (a full list of past conferences is appended below).At the 9 th conference at Macquarie, 163 people attended, including substantial numbers from overseas and interstate, enjoying both the sweet Sydney spring weather and three stimulating days of talks and talk. There was no specific theme, but in addition to specialist research papers within specific sub/disciplines, we encouraged integrative papers which forge connections between sub/disciplines. This integrative ideal also informed invitations to our five excellent keynote speakers: Stephen Crain (Macquarie Centre for Cognitive Science), Jakob Hohwy (Philosophy, Monash University), Jason Mattingley (Psychology & Queensland Brain Institute, University of Queensland), Thomas Metzinger (Philosophy, Johannes Gutenberg-Universität, Mainz; & Institute for Advanced Study, Berlin, Germany, and Barbara Tversky (Psychology, Stanford University; & Columbia University, USA). Versions of three of these keynote talks appear in these proceedings: the papers by Jason Mattingley and Thomas Metzinger have been published elsewhere.Perhaps because the cognitive science community in Australasia is relatively small, compared at least with our counterparts in Asia, Europe, and North America, it retains a thoroughly multidisciplinary atmosphere. The programme confirmed the striking pluralism of the contemporary cognitive sciences, drawing on many distinctive disciplines as researchers on cognition are looking both down into the brain and out into the environment. Most contributions were from psychologists, with sizable numbers from philosophy and linguistics: but many other areas were also represented, including computational neuroscience, neuropsychiatry, clinical psychology, computer science, human-computer interaction, anthropology, education, history and philosophy of science, cognitive archaeology, cognitive ethology, English literature, and cultural history.All those who had presented papers and posters were invited to submit revised versions, following the conference, as full contributions to the published Proceedings. All submissions were reviewed afresh, and revisions were submitted in early 2010: we are delighted to thank our team of reviewers for their hard and effective work.Fifty-seven p...

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Bayesian Statistical Inference

Cited by 113 publications

References 0 publications

The clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of screening for open angle glaucoma: a systematic review and economic evaluation

The clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of screening for open angle glaucoma: a systematic review and economic evaluation

Teaching an Application of Bayes' Rule for Legal Decision-Making: Measuring the Strength of Evidence

Proceedings of the 9th Conference of the Australasian Society for Cognitive Science

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