2018
DOI: 10.1111/evo.13585
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Bayesian updating during development predicts genotypic differences in plasticity

Abstract: Interactions between genotypes and environments are central to evolutionary genetics, but such interactions are typically described, rather than predicted from theory. Recent Bayesian models of development generate specific predictions about genotypic differences in developmental plasticity (changes in the value of a given trait as a result of a given experience) based on genotypic differences in the value of the trait that is expressed by naïve subjects. We used these models to make a priori predictions about… Show more

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Cited by 23 publications
(16 citation statements)
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References 97 publications
(203 reference statements)
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“…Alternatively, our results could suggest the emergence of new behavioral tendencies: If individuals randomly emerge from shelter under conditions without pressure, new individually specific latency personalities may canalize after life experiences. This second possibility is consistent with Bayesian updating models of development (Stamps et al., 2018) but, due to our ambiguous results, requires further investigation.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 87%
“…Alternatively, our results could suggest the emergence of new behavioral tendencies: If individuals randomly emerge from shelter under conditions without pressure, new individually specific latency personalities may canalize after life experiences. This second possibility is consistent with Bayesian updating models of development (Stamps et al., 2018) but, due to our ambiguous results, requires further investigation.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 87%
“…We observed some treatment level differences later in the experiment with control fish being more sedentary, though this did not seem intuitively meaningful as effects were counter to predictions and inconsistent among treatment groups. Further, contrary to the Bayesian models which predict convergence of phenotypes when animals are moved to standardised conditions (Stamps et al, 2018;Stamps and Krishnan, 2017), our character-state model revealed increased among-individual variance at nine weeks old.…”
Section: No Effect Of Juvenile Predator Cues On Behaviourcontrasting
confidence: 99%
“…In some cases, behavior‐dependent survival could lead to within‐lifetime selection against certain behavioral profiles (model 7, Table 1; Bell et al, 2009; Freidenfelds, Robbins, & Langkilde, 2012), leading to reduced among‐individual variation in behavior in adults; however, all juvenile turtles tested in 2017 survived to 2018, so selection should not have influenced juvenile personality development. This trend toward a decline in among‐individual variation is consistent with convergence of behavior in response to developing in a common environment (model 6, Table 1; Stamps, Biro, Mitchell, & Saltz, 2018; Stamps & Frankenhuis, 2016). We would have expected that such a role of the environment would have produced differences in behavior between enriched and unenriched turtles, which were not apparent.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 68%