Behavioral Economics of Crime Rates and Punishment Levels

Chiba, Saori; Leong, Kaiwen

doi:10.2139/ssrn.2511322

Cited by 3 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 64 publications

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“…5 For articulations of these channels, see Clarke and Weisburd (1994); Weisburd et al (2006); Chiba and Leong (2014). 6 Latin America has 42 of the 50 most dangerous cities and a third of the world's homicides (see Consejo…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Place-Based Interventions at Scale: The Direct and Spillover Effects of Policing and City Services on Crime

Blattman

Green

Ortega

et al. 2017

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Dean Yang, and many conference and seminar participants. Data and analysis were funded by the J-PAL Governance Initiative, 3ie, the Development Bank of Latin America (CAF), Fundación Probogotá, Organización Ardila Lülle via Universidad de los Andes CESED, COLCIENCIAS in the Government of Colombia, and the J. William Fulbright Program. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer-reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Place-Based Interventions at Scale: The Direct and Spillover Effects of Policing and City Services on Crime

Blattman

Green

Ortega

et al. 2017

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Place-Based Interventions at Scale: The Direct and Spillover Effects of Policing and City Services on Crime

Blattman

Green

Ortega

et al. 2021

Journal of the European Economic Association

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In 2016 the city of Bogotá doubled police patrols and intensified city services on high-crime streets. They did so based on a criminological consensus that such place-based programs not only decrease crime, but also have beneficial spillovers for nearby streets. To test this, we worked with Bogotá to experiment on an unprecedented scale. We randomly assigned 1,919 streets to either 8 months of doubled police patrols, greater municipal services, both, or neither. Such scale brings econometric challenges. Spatial spillovers in dense networks introduce bias and complicate variance estimation through “fuzzy clustering”. But a design-based approach and randomization inference produce valid hypothesis tests in such settings. In contrast to the consensus, we find intensifying state presence did not generate substantively meaningful or statistically significant reductions in crime. Our estimates suggest modest direct effects but with crime displaced nearby, especially property crimes. Confidence intervals suggest we can rule out total reductions in crime of more than 2% from the two interventions.

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Pushing Crime Around the Corner? Estimating Experimental Impacts of Large-Scale Security Interventions

et al. 2017

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Behavioral Economics of Crime Rates and Punishment Levels

Cited by 3 publications

References 64 publications

Place-Based Interventions at Scale: The Direct and Spillover Effects of Policing and City Services on Crime

Place-Based Interventions at Scale: The Direct and Spillover Effects of Policing and City Services on Crime

Place-Based Interventions at Scale: The Direct and Spillover Effects of Policing and City Services on Crime

Pushing Crime Around the Corner? Estimating Experimental Impacts of Large-Scale Security Interventions

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