2019
DOI: 10.33011/livecoms.1.1.5067
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Best Practices for Quantification of Uncertainty and Sampling Quality in Molecular Simulations [Article v1.0]

Abstract: The quantitative assessment of uncertainty and sampling quality is essential in molecular simulation. Many systems of interest are highly complex, often at the edge of current computational capabilities. Modelers must therefore analyze and communicate statistical uncertainties so that “consumers” of simulated data understand its significance and limitations. This article covers key analyses appropriate for trajectory data generated by conventional simulation methods such as molecular dynamics and (single Marko… Show more

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Cited by 134 publications
(184 citation statements)
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“…It is important that the difference between subsequent t 0 values (δt 0 ) be longer than the correlation time so that the different time intervals are independent (see Ref. [32] for details regarding correlation time). Both methods involve some judgment on the part of the user and results can vary depending on where the slope is taken (Einstein approach) and for how long the integral is carried out (Green-Kubo approach).…”
Section: Improved Precisionmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…It is important that the difference between subsequent t 0 values (δt 0 ) be longer than the correlation time so that the different time intervals are independent (see Ref. [32] for details regarding correlation time). Both methods involve some judgment on the part of the user and results can vary depending on where the slope is taken (Einstein approach) and for how long the integral is carried out (Green-Kubo approach).…”
Section: Improved Precisionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For this reason, in addition to the discussion provided below, we recommend a close study of Refs. [33] and [32]. Although force field deficiencies can lead to large systematic deviations with respect to the "true" experimental value, we limit our discussion to random uncertainties associated with fluctuations in the simulation output.…”
Section: Uncertainty Quantificationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Besides the presence of unexplored relevant areas of configurational space, the noise in the trajectory can hide very slow decays (see YANK calculation in CB8-G3). More recommendations about how to detect convergence issues can be found in [114,115].…”
Section: Bias Is Critical When Comparing the Efficiency Of Different mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The lack of a common comparative method for molecular dynamics data has been problematic. Many reviews of best practices in molecular dynamics often warn users of the danger of comparisons based upon inadequate sampling, but seldom offer proper statistical framework to mitigate this problem (41,42). Recently, our lab has developed a platform for statistical comparison and machine learning applications to molecular dynamics (15,16).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%