Bifurcation and optimal control analysis of a delayed drinking model

Abstract

Alcoholism is a social phenomenon that affects all social classes and is a chronic disorder that causes the person to drink uncontrollably, which can bring a series of social problems. With this motivation, a delayed drinking model including five subclasses is proposed in this paper. By employing the method of characteristic eigenvalue and taking the temporary immunity delay for alcoholics under treatment as a bifurcation parameter, a threshold value of the time delay for the local stability of drinking-present equilibrium and the existence of Hopf bifurcation are found. Then the length of delay has been estimated to preserve stability using the Nyquist criterion. Moreover, optimal strategies to lower down the number of drinkers are proposed. Numerical simulations are presented to examine the correctness of the obtained results and the effects of some parameters on dynamics of the drinking model.

Incorporating convex incidence rate and public awareness program in modelling drinking abuse and novel control strategies with time delay

“…It has been proved that mathematical modelling has played a vital role in assisting authorities among these struggles. Recently some new tools have been introduced and new developments can be seen in the literature, we refer interested readers to see [4][5][6].…”