Birth cohort changes in fertility ideals: evidence from repeated cross-sectional surveys in Finland

Golovina, Kateryna; Nitsche, Natalie; Berg, Venla; Miettinen, Anneli; Rotkirch, Anna; Jokela, Markus

doi:10.1093/esr/jcad048

Cited by 6 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 55 publications

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“…However, the country has experienced an unprecedented decline in fertility since 2011, as fertility rates dropped from 1.86 children per women in 2010 to 1.32 in 2022. The shift is closely tied to the spread of child-free ideals among the youngest cohorts (Golovina et al, 2023). As documented by Hellstrand and others (2021), this difference is primarily attributed to delays or losses in first childbirth.…”

Section: Finnish Register Datamentioning

confidence: 88%

Fertility Trends Across Migrant Generations Reexamined: Insights from Finnish Administrative Data

Estévez,

Rotkirch

2023

Preprint

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Recognizing the importance of adaptation, previous studies have revealed substantial differences between native-born and migrant descendants in their reproductive behavior, sometimes aligning with behavior in the country of origin, and other times deviating from it. To gain insight into this puzzle, we make use of register data from Finland to analyze the timing of parenthood (first parity) of different groups of migrant descendants, in comparison to that of native-born individuals. Employing discrete-time logistic regressions, complemented by matching and mediation analyses, our research uncovers significant differences between migrant descendants with two foreign-born parents and those with one foreign-born and one native-born parent (2.5-generation), even when they partly originate from the same regions. Moreover, our study challenges the conventional choice of native-born individuals as the reference category, highlighting the importance of considering the unique urban profile of migrant descendants. The examination of the mediating effects of education and partnership status reveals that education does not appear to slow down the pace of female migrant descendants compared to native-born women. However, among male migrant descendants, higher levels of education correlate with a delayed age at which they have their first child, as compared to native-born men. Furthermore, we identify a substantial deceleration through partnership status for both male and female migrant descendants. This suggests that challenges in finding suitable partners in the host country can contribute to a delay in the age at which migrant descendants have their first child; a phenomenon that seems to extend even to those with one native-born parent.

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Section: Finnish Register Datamentioning

confidence: 88%

Fertility Trends Across Migrant Generations Reexamined: Insights from Finnish Administrative Data

Estévez,

Rotkirch

2023

Preprint

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“…At the same time, the ideal number of children has declined among people from recent birth cohorts (i.e. 1985–1994) compared to those born in the 1970s and early 1980s, which was driven by substantially higher prevalence of people not wanting to have children from the recent cohorts (Golovina et al, 2021). Perceived uncertain life situation and unwillingness to change current lifestyle emerged as the strongest factors behind the decision to postpone or not to have (more) children among Finns (Savelieva et al, 2022).…”

Section: Terminology and Theoretical Frameworkmentioning

confidence: 99%

Associations between early family environment and ideal number of children

2023

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Childhood family is vital for the formation of fertility preferences and attitudes towards family life. Yet previous studies mainly focused on structural aspects of the family, whereas the role of perceptions of one's family in relation to fertility preferences remained largely understudied. This study examined how different aspects of the early family environment (i.e. relationships with parents, happiness in childhood, parental conflicts, family resources, as well as family structure) are related to the ideal number of children reported in adulthood. Using representative cross‐sectional survey data from the Finnish Family Barometer 2015, the sample comprised men and women aged 20–45 with and without children. Poisson regression models indicated that a higher number of siblings was associated with a higher ideal number of children, whereas living in a single‐parent household and overall negative perceptions of parents were related to a lower ideal number of children independent of various socio‐demographic characteristics. Further analyses showed that these family characteristics were associated with the ideal number of children mainly among childless people but not among parents. The findings suggest that the early family environment is related to the formation of the ideal number of children, especially for childless people.

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“…Nonetheless, by analysing long-term childbearing intentions among younger individuals, we do not lose information about the association between social support and hypothetical fertility in this age group. As childlessness plays a substantial role in Finland's declining fertility rates (Roustaei et al, 2019;Golovina et al, 2023), considering these young and yet childless individuals is crucial for understanding future fertility trends in Finland.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Counting on parents or others?

Artamonova,

Sorsa,

Berg

et al. 2024

Finnish Yearb Popul Res

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This study explores the associations between receiving social support from network members other than individuals’ parents and fertility intentions in Finland. It additionally examines whether support from others can compensate for the lack of parental support or complement their support. Using logistic regression models applied to Generations and Gender Survey (GGS) data on individuals aged 18–45 years enriched with administrative registers, we found that Finns who received instrumental support from others were more likely to intend to have a child. Support from others did not compensate for, nor complement, a lack of parental support or parental geographic remoteness. However, among men with at least one parent deceased or unknown, those receiving emotional support from others were more likely to intend to have a child within three years (and as likely as individuals with both parents alive) than those not receiving this support, suggesting a compensatory mechanism.

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Birth cohort changes in fertility ideals: evidence from repeated cross-sectional surveys in Finland

Cited by 6 publications

References 55 publications

Fertility Trends Across Migrant Generations Reexamined: Insights from Finnish Administrative Data

Fertility Trends Across Migrant Generations Reexamined: Insights from Finnish Administrative Data

Associations between early family environment and ideal number of children

Counting on parents or others?

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