OBJECTIVES-To assess whether older age is independently associated with hemorrhage risk in patients with atrial fibrillation, whether or not they are taking warfarin therapy.
DESIGN-Cohort study.SETTING-Integrated healthcare delivery system.
PARTICIPANTS-Thirteen thousand five hundred fifty-nine adults with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation.MEASUREMENTS-Patient data were collected from automated clinical and administrative databases using previously validated search algorithms. Medical charts were reviewed from patients hospitalized were for major hemorrhage (intracranial, fatal, requiring ≥2 units of transfused blood, or involving a critical anatomic site). Age was categorized into four categories (<60, 60-69, 70-79, and ≥80), and multivariable Poisson regression was used to assess whether major hemorrhage rates increased with age, stratified by warfarin use and adjusted for other clinical risk factors for hemorrhage.RESULTS-A total of 170 major hemorrhages were identified during 15,300 person-years of warfarin therapy and 162 major hemorrhages during 15,530 person-years off warfarin therapy. Hemorrhage rates rose with older age, with an average increase in hemorrhage rate of 1.2 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.0-1.4) per older age category in patients taking warfarin and 1.5 (95% CI=1.3-1.8) in those not taking warfarin. Intracranial hemorrhage rates were significantly higher in those aged 80 and older (adjusted rate ratio=1.8, 95% CI=1.1-3.1 for those taking warfarin, adjusted rate ratio=4.7, 95% CI=2.4-9.2 for those not taking warfarin) than in those younger than 80. Author Contributions: Margaret Fang, Alan Go, Elaine Hylek, and Daniel Singer contributed to study concept and design, data analysis and interpretation, and preparation of manuscript. Yuchiao Chang contributed to data analysis and interpretation, and preparation of manuscript. Lori Henault and Nancy Jensvold contributed to study concept and design and acquisition of subjects and data. Anticoagulation therapy with warfarin effectively reduces the risk of ischemic stroke associated with atrial fibrillation but also increases the risk for major hemorrhage. [1][2][3][4] Although previous randomized trials of warfarin for atrial fibrillation reported low rates of hemorrhage, these studies included few patients aged 80 and older and selected their patients more rigorously than in actual clinical practice. 1,5 It is uncertain whether the low bleeding rates observed in trial settings apply to patients with atrial fibrillation in usual clinical care. Prior studies have also provided conflicting evidence as to whether older age is an independent risk factor for warfarin-associated hemorrhage. 6-8 As increasing numbers of elderly patients take warfarin for atrial fibrillation, 9 more-precise data are needed on hemorrhage rates in the oldest patients.
NIH Public AccessMost observational studies of warfarin did not specifically address the risk of hemorrhage in patients with atrial fibrillation. Studies generally included patients taking warfarin for m...