Background
Chagas cardiomyopathy is a chronic sequela of infection by the parasite, Trypanosoma cruzi. Advanced cardiomyopathy is associated with a high mortality rate, and clinical characteristics have been used to predict mortality risk. Though multiple biomarkers have been associated with Chagas cardiomyopathy, it is unknown how these are related to survival.
Objectives
Our study aimed to identify biomarkers associated with mortality in individuals with severe Chagas cardiomyopathy in an urban Bolivian hospital.
Methods
The population included individuals with and without T. cruzi infection recruited in an urban hospital in Santa Cruz, Bolivia. Baseline characteristics, ECG findings, medications, and serum cardiac biomarker levels (BNP, NTproBNP, CKMB, troponin I, MMP-2, MMP-9, TIMP-1, TIMP-2, TGFb1, and TGFb2) were ascertained. Echocardiograms were preferentially performed on those with cardiac symptoms or electrocardiogram abnormalities. Participants were contacted by phone approximately 1 year after initial evaluation; deaths were reported by family members. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to optimize cut-off values for each marker. For markers with area under curve > 0.55, Cox proportional hazards models were performed to determine the hazards ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for the association of each marker with mortality.
Results
The median follow-up time was 14.1 months (interquartile range 12.5- 16.7 months). Of 254 individuals with complete cardiac data, 220 (87%) had follow-up data. Of 50 patients with severe Chagas cardiomyopathy, 20 (40%) had died. Higher baseline levels of BNP (HR[95% CI]:3.1 [1.2, 8.4]), NTproBNP (4.4[1.8,11.0]), CKMB (3.3[1.3, 8.0]), and MMP-2 (4.2[1.5, 11.8]) were significantly associated with subsequent mortality.
Conclusions
Severe Chagas cardiomyopathy is associated with high short-term mortality. BNP, NTproBNP, CKMB and MMP2 have added predictive value for mortality, even in the presence of decreased ejection fraction and other clinical signs of congestive heart failure.