Breakpoint in Time: Donald Trump’s Trade Policy Toward Canada

Gagnon, Frédérick

doi:10.1007/978-3-030-37258-3_13

Cited by 3 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 2 publications

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“…In this interview, Biden's position that while TPP was not perfect, it was based on a good idea “to unite countries around high standards for workers, the environment, intellectual property and transparency, and use of a collective weight to curb China's excesses” (CFR, 2019). As noted by Gagnon (2020), however, several other prominent Democratic candidates (and current Senators) expressed views reminiscent of the “America First” approach touted by Trump. This includes Vice‐President‐elect Kamala Harris, who noted that she would oppose any trade deal that does not look out for the best interests of American workers—a similar tone to that used by Trump during his 2016 campaign.…”

Section: From Biden–harris Platform To Biden Administration Policymentioning

confidence: 95%

A new president in the White House: implications for Canadian agricultural trade

Grant

Boys

Xie

2021

Canadian J Agri Economics

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Canadian agricultural trade has experienced several volatile periods over the past 15 years. The Great Recession (2007–2009), the 2015–2016 global trade slowdown, unilateral policy actions by the United States against key trade allies and the multilateral system more generally, and the impacts of the Covid‐19 pandemic are among the most significant events during this period. Given the close integration of Canadian and US agricultural markets, the recent US election is likely to again impact the relative competitiveness of Canadian agricultural exports. While many observers suggest President‐elect Joe Biden will return to normal times regarding multilateral cooperation with key allies and international institutions such as the World Trade Organization, the new administration is likely to face headwinds given the significant fraying of ties with key trading partners and allies due to disruptive actions taken by his predecessor. This article provides an overview of potential implications of a Biden administration for Canada's agricultural trade. We start by reviewing recent trade shock events affecting Canada's agricultural trade with a particular focus on trade actions taken by the United States. Relevant components of the President‐elect Biden's platform, considerations affecting the implementation of this platform, and the implications of this for Canadian agricultural trade are considered.

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Section: From Biden–harris Platform To Biden Administration Policymentioning

confidence: 95%

A new president in the White House: implications for Canadian agricultural trade

Grant

Boys

Xie

2021

Canadian J Agri Economics

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“…This could be affected by the behaviour of American populists, however. Gagnon (2020) notes that even American supporters of Canada embraced economic nationalism and expected Canadian compliance with measures affecting economic relationships with China and others. A provision in CUSMA gave the US the right to preview any deals Canada reached with other states and permitted abrogation of CUSMA if the terms of those deals were deemed unacceptable (Gagnon, 2020, pp.…”

Section: Comparing Populisms: Protectionist Vs Pro-trade Variantsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Populist Backlash and Trade Agreements in North America: The Prospects for Progressive Trade

Finbow

2023

PaG

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Populist rejection of the embedded liberal international order is evident in many Western democracies. This is partly attributable to the architects of this system, who over-promised widespread benefits while ignoring warnings from labour and fair-trade advocates about risks to economic security from transnational economic competition. This article contrasts Canadian and American conservative populist positions on free trade. Globalisation and free trade without consideration for fair trade weakened the embedded liberal compromise and undermined the Keynesian welfare state model which sustained it. While regional free trade agreements like the North American Free Trade Agreement have had marginal negative effects, they became convenient scapegoats in a strategy of “othering” adopted by Trump and other populists. Populism arose in part in response to middle- and working-class decline (alongside cultural changes and revitalised nativism), which eroded support for embedded liberalism. The heretofore pro-trade GOP followed Trump to a more protectionist and bilateral model to press for “America first,” tinged by nativist othering towards Mexico and China. This diverged from Canadian right-populist leaders, whose rhetoric generally supports freer trade despite scepticism among some supporters. Asymmetrical circumstances of the US as a global economic hegemon vs. Canada as trade-dependent middle power limits the feasibility of a protectionist, “Canada first” position while particularities of political and electoral systems create more room for nativism in the US. Polling results indicate support for free trade in both nations, with a priority for labour and social protections, which provides the potential for further engagement in progressive trade liberalisation. Hence a significant percentage of the population supports “fair-trade” approaches, not protectionism. However, many conservative politicians eschew fair-trade positions and endorse anti-labour policies. Despite gains such as the labour provisions in the Canada–US–Mexico Agreement, a right-populist alliance with fair-trade advocates and labour unions is unsustainable and would entail compromises like climate denial, anti-immigrant, and anti-equity approaches which hinder the pursuit of progressive multilateral trading regimes.

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Make Geo-Economics Great Again

Gagnon

2021

Études internationales

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Breakpoint in Time: Donald Trump’s Trade Policy Toward Canada

Cited by 3 publications

References 2 publications

A new president in the White House: implications for Canadian agricultural trade

A new president in the White House: implications for Canadian agricultural trade

Populist Backlash and Trade Agreements in North America: The Prospects for Progressive Trade

Make Geo-Economics Great Again

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