Breeding phenology, reproductive traits and apparent survival of sympatric Marsh Warbler<i>Acrocephalus palustris</i>and Blyth’s Reed Warbler<i>Acrocephalus dumetorum</i>

First-year survival probability of migratory passerines during the period between fledging and first reproduction is a highly variable parameter that has a major effect on population dynamics. We used a long-term mark–recapture dataset (2002–2018) to examine first-year survival of 3 passerine species breeding in abandoned agricultural fields of northwestern Russia: Booted Warbler (Iduna caligata), Whinchat (Saxicola rubetra), and Western Yellow Wagtail (Motacilla flava). We banded 3,457 nestlings, including 1,363 Booted Warblers, 1,699 Whinchats, and 395 Western Yellow Wagtails, and resighted 12 Booted Warblers, 29 Whinchats, and 13 Western Yellow Wagtails in the year after fledging. We evaluated first-year apparent survival rates using Cormack-Jolly-Seber models in MARK program within the multispecies approach. We tested effect of fledge date on the first-year apparent survival. In all focal species, first-year apparent survival rates were low and reached the lower limits known for migratory passerines. We found no differences in first-year survival rates among the 3 species: the estimated average first-year apparent survival rate of all species was 0.05 ± 0.01. The fledge date had a considerable impact on first-year survival rate: later fledge dates negatively affected first-year survival. We suggest that first-year apparent survival rates in our study were low due to low natal philopatry and high mortality in the post-fledging period. Low apparent first-year survival may be a specific feature of open-nesting birds breeding in abandoned fields that are low-quality habitats because of high predation pressure.

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Low first-year apparent survival of passerines in abandoned fields in northwestern Russia

Shitikov

Grudinskaya

Makarova

et al. 2020

The Condor

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Fully accounting for nest age reduces bias when quantifying nest survival

Weiser

2021

Ornithological Applications

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Accurately measuring nest survival is challenging because nests must be discovered to be monitored, but nests are typically not found on the first day of the nesting interval. Studies of nest survival therefore often monitor a sample that overrepresents older nests. To account for this sampling bias, a daily survival rate (DSR) is estimated and then used to calculate nest survival to the end of the interval. However, estimates of DSR (and thus nest survival) can still be biased if DSR changes with nest age and nests are not found at age 0. Including nest age as a covariate of DSR and carefully considering the method of estimating nest survival can prevent such biases, but many published studies have not fully accounted for changes in DSR with nest age. I used a simulation study to quantify biases in estimates of nest survival resulting from changes in DSR with nest age under a variety of scenarios. I tested four methods of estimating nest survival from the simulated datasets and evaluated the bias and variance of each estimate. Nest survival estimates were often strongly biased when DSR varied with age but DSR was assumed to be constant, as well as when the model included age as a covariate but calculated nest survival from DSR at the mean monitored nest age (the method typically used in previous studies). In contrast, biases were usually avoided when nest survival was calculated as the product of age-specific estimates of DSR across the full nesting interval. However, the unbiased estimates often showed large variance, especially when few nests were found at young ages. Future field studies can maximize the accuracy and precision of nest survival estimates by aiming to find nests at young ages, including age as a covariate in the DSR model, and calculating nest survival as the product of age-specific estimates of DSR when DSR changes with nest age.

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Nest Survival of Open-Nesting Passerines: Species Differences, Temporal Variability, and the Impact of Weather Conditions

Shitikov

2021

Biol Bull Russ Acad Sci

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Breeding phenology, reproductive traits and apparent survival of sympatric Marsh WarblerAcrocephalus palustrisand Blyth’s Reed WarblerAcrocephalus dumetorum

Cited by 3 publications

References 28 publications

Low first-year apparent survival of passerines in abandoned fields in northwestern Russia

Low first-year apparent survival of passerines in abandoned fields in northwestern Russia

Fully accounting for nest age reduces bias when quantifying nest survival

Nest Survival of Open-Nesting Passerines: Species Differences, Temporal Variability, and the Impact of Weather Conditions

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