Briefing: For richer, for poorer: GDP revisions and Africa's statistical tragedy

Jerven, Morten

doi:10.1093/afraf/ads063

Cited by 44 publications

(29 citation statements)

References 0 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…First, most studies use administrative GDP data as the main indicator for economic conditions. Yet, GDP data are often unreliable, particularly in countries most likely to be afflicted by conflicts (Heston, 1994;Jerven, 2013).…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Re-Evaluating the Economic Costs of Conflicts

Fonseca

Baskaran

2015

SSRN Journal

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. countries, we find that conflicts strongly reduce light output in settlements directly affected by fighting over the period 1992-2008. In addition, conflicts have large negative spillovers both across and within countries: light output in settlements not directly exposed to fighting declines significantly once a conflict begins; neighboring countries also experience large negative effects. The negative effects of conflicts are particularly pronounced in Eastern Europe, but also observable in sub-Saharan Africa, Latin America, and South and South-East Asia. In contrast, conflicts have, on average, no negative effects on light output in the Middle East and in the West. Terms of use: Documents inWe contrast these results with cross-country regressions with GDP data, which suggest much smaller negative effects of conflicts.

show abstract

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Re-Evaluating the Economic Costs of Conflicts

Fonseca

Baskaran

2015

SSRN Journal

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Governments have incentives to misreport data in certain situations, but can also be fooled, as well, when they consume the data of line ministries or local departments. The political meaning and sensitivity of data is always at issue and has been discussed elsewhere (Jerven, 2013b).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Statistical Tragedy in Africa? Evaluating the Data Base for African Economic Development

Johnston

2015

The Journal of Development Studies

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Measurement is increasingly at the centre of debates in African economic development. Some remarkable upward revisions of GDP, which are signs of statistical systems improving, caused the declaration of a statistical tragedy in Africa. This special issue evaluates the database for African economic development with articles on the quality of the data on GDP, health and education, poverty, labour, agriculture and income distribution.

show abstract

“…This alone implies a need for caution in conducting research using cross-country data, and the need for care in comparing reported levels of tax collection across countries, regions or income groupings. However, while the underestimation of GDP is thus a major consideration on its own, the problem is magnified by the fact that international sources sometimes use GDP series for the same country with different base years (Jerven 2013a). Inconsistency in GDP series results in rapid shifts in tax-to-GDP ratios at points of discontinuity in underlying GDP series -even in those situations where the underlying tax data is consistent.…”

Section: Gdp Seriesmentioning

confidence: 99%