2011
DOI: 10.1177/1065912911398051
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Bringing the President Back In

Abstract: Despite prevailing negative conditions, initial analyses of the 2008 presidential election, including this one, find significant but not particularly strong economic voting effects during the fall campaign. In this article, the authors pay special attention to how the economic information context changed during the campaign and how those changes affected the evolution of retrospective voting. The findings show that there were two distinct phases of the fall campaign, that retrospective voting was nonexistent p… Show more

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Cited by 9 publications
(4 citation statements)
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“…However, they also extend the conditions under which social policy expansion may appear permissible to citizens. While previous work largely focuses on the effect of fiscal crises on public attitudes (Holbrook et al, 2012;Margalit, 2013), our findings address the effect of crises with non-economic origins.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 2 more Smart Citations
“…However, they also extend the conditions under which social policy expansion may appear permissible to citizens. While previous work largely focuses on the effect of fiscal crises on public attitudes (Holbrook et al, 2012;Margalit, 2013), our findings address the effect of crises with non-economic origins.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…There is a well-established literature on the effects of fiscal crises across western liberal markets (Holbrook et al. , 2012; Margalit, 2013).…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…A central tenet in the U.S. voting literature is that elections are retrospective (Key, 1966), and there is considerable evidence that voters hold incumbent officeholders accountable for bad outcomes, particularly for poor economic performance (e.g., Alvarez & Nagler, 1995, 1998; Fair, 1978; Fiorina, 1978, 1981; Hibbing & Alford, 1981; Holbrook, Clouse, & Weinschenk, 2011; Kiewiet, 1983; Kramer, 1971; Lewis-Beck & Stegmaier, 2007; Tufte, 1975). Retrospective voting in the United States, however, is complicated by the fact that, in many elections, voters are asked to cast a ballot in multiple contests at different levels of government.…”
Section: Issue Voting Across Us Electionsmentioning
confidence: 99%