Building capacity for a user-centred Integrated Early Warning System (I-EWS) for drought in the Northern Murray-Darling Basin

Bhardwaj, Jessica; Kuleshov, Yuriy; Watkins, Andrew; Aitkenhead, Isabella; Asghari, Atifa

doi:10.1007/s11069-021-04575-2

Cited by 15 publications

(32 citation statements)

References 30 publications

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“…The constructed I-EWS was found to sufficiently detect periods of drought with an early warning lead time of three to eight months (Aitkenhead, Asghari, and Bhardwaj 2020;Bhardwaj 2020). Additionally, staged warning categories of "WATCH", "ALERT" and "DECLARATION" were triggered at various points in the study period (Figure 9).…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 96%

“…As a result, contemporary approaches emphasize the importance of interconnected systems; accepting that EWSs "are only as effective as their weakest link" (United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) 2018). Figure 8 illustrates the linkages that a more interwoven model would address (from (Bhardwaj 2020)). Grey arrows indicate direct linkages and purple arrows indicate community-informed iteration.…”

Section: Linear Versus Interconnectedmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…A case study into the proof-of-concept construction for a user-centered I-EWS for drought was conducted for the Northern Murray Darling Basin in Australia (Bhardwaj 2020).…”

Section: Drought Ews Case Studymentioning

confidence: 99%

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Climate Risk and Early Warning Systems: Adaptation Strategies for the Most Vulnerable Communities

Bhardwaj

Asghari

Aitkenhead

et al. 2021

JSPG

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Climate risk and resultant natural disasters have significant impacts on human and natural environments. It is common for disaster responses to be reactive rather than proactive due to inadequate policy and planning mechanisms—such reactive management responses exacerbate human and economic losses in times of disaster. Proactive disaster responses maximize disaster resilience and preparation efforts in non-disaster periods. This report focuses on proactive, localized, and inclusive adaptation strategies for addressing impacts of three natural hazards: drought, floods, and tropical cyclones. Four key synergistic climate adaptation strategies are discussed—Post Disaster Reviews, Risk Assessments, Early Warning Systems and Forecast-based Financing. These strategies are further supported with a number of case studies and recommendations that will be of assistance for policymakers in developing evidence-based adaptation strategies that support the most vulnerable communities in the transition towards regarding disaster as a risk as opposed to a crisis.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 96%

Section: Linear Versus Interconnectedmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Climate Risk and Early Warning Systems: Adaptation Strategies for the Most Vulnerable Communities

Bhardwaj

Asghari

Aitkenhead

et al. 2021

JSPG

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“…A key process to moving forward with improving ADM in high priority and drought risk areas is the development of a user-centred EWS for drought (Kuleshov et al 2020). Recent studies on designing an I-EWS for drought in the Northern MDB demonstrated the benefits of such system for ADM in these LGAs (Asghari et al 2021;Bhardwaj et al 2021); results of those studies suggest that communities can have increased drought resilience when a user-centred EWS for drought is used as part of an ADMS in priority and at-risk areas.…”

Section: Study Limitations and Way To Move Forwardmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…While the BoM analyses historical rainfall data and provides users with important drought information, it is state and federal government agencies which declare drought for relief and management purposes. Rainfall sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) forecasts are an essential part of any user-centred Integrated Early Warning System (I-EWS) for drought, providing an early warning of potential drought conditions to state and federal decision-makers (Kuleshov et al 2020;Bhardwaj et al 2021), and assisting users in planning their Agricultural Drought Management Strategy (ADMS).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing agricultural drought management strategies in the Northern Murray–Darling Basin

et al. 2021

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The Northern Murray-Darling Basin (MDB) is a key Australian agricultural region requiring efficient Agricultural Drought Management (ADM), focused on resilience. Although a need for resilience in local farming communities has long been recognised, previous studies assessing ADM in the Northern MDB did not consider two key elements of resilient management: proactivity (preparing for drought prior to a drought event) and suitability (localised drought management targeted at decision-makers). This study assessed the current ADM Strategy (ADMS) implemented within five selected Northern MDB Local Government Areas (LGAs) (Paroo Shire, Balonne Shire, Murweh Shire, Maranoa Region, and Goondiwindi Region), specifically investigating the extent of ADMS proactivity, effectiveness, and suitability. To investigate suitability, drought risk extent of each LGA was determined. A region-specific drought risk index consisting of hazard, vulnerability and exposure indices was developed; risk mapping was conducted. All LGAs displayed very high levels of drought risk due to hazardous climatic conditions, vulnerable socio-economic attributes, and drought-exposed geographical features. A Criteria-Based Ranking (CBR) survey produced a quantitative effectiveness and proactivity rank for each major ADMS used in the Northern MDB. Government Assistance was the most proactive and effective ADMS. Strategy effectiveness ranks of the major ADMS used and drought risk extent found in each LGA were correlated to determine ADMS suitability. Overall, Balonne Shire and the Goondiwindi Region were identified as high priority areas requiring improved ADM. A user-centred Integrated Early Warning System (I-EWS) for drought could potentially increase ADM proactivity and suitability in such areas, strengthening drought resilience of farming communities.

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Monitoring and Control System for Flood Forecasting Forehead of Climate Change and the “El Niño” Phenomenon

Ruiz,

Serrano,

Espejo

et al. 2023

Advances in Science, Technology &Amp; Innovation

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Building capacity for a user-centred Integrated Early Warning System (I-EWS) for drought in the Northern Murray-Darling Basin

Cited by 15 publications

References 30 publications

Climate Risk and Early Warning Systems: Adaptation Strategies for the Most Vulnerable Communities

Climate Risk and Early Warning Systems: Adaptation Strategies for the Most Vulnerable Communities

Assessing agricultural drought management strategies in the Northern Murray–Darling Basin

Monitoring and Control System for Flood Forecasting Forehead of Climate Change and the “El Niño” Phenomenon

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