Buzzwords on their way to a tipping‐point: A view from the blogosphere

Neuman, Yair; Nave, Ophir; Dolev, Eran

doi:10.1002/cplx.20347

Cited by 22 publications

(17 citation statements)

References 10 publications

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“…For example, according to Brown (), Democratic contender Howard Dean lost credibility as a presidential actor with his “notorious ‘scream’ speech” (86). Neuman, Nave, and Dolev () call “presidentialness” a “buzzword” or “neologism” in the English language, defined as: “The physical and mental qualities that make a person appear to be suitable for the job of United States president” (68). Anderson and Sheeler (2014) speak of presidentiality as the successful electoral attainment of the U.S. presidency.…”

Section: Operationalizing the Conceptual Factorsmentioning

confidence: 99%

When Does a Presidential Candidate Seem Presidential and Trustworthy? Campaign Messages Through the Lens of Language Expectancy Theory

Clementson¹,

Pascual‐Ferrá²,

Beatty³

2016

Pres Stud Q

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Presidential candidates use different language intensity in different situations. However, the literature is unclear as to when they should use low‐ or high‐intensity language. We applied language expectancy theory and Edwards’ theory of presidential influence to situations varying in circumstances during a presidential campaign. Results indicated significant interactions between language intensity and economic conditions. In support of theories of persuasion applied to presidential campaign contexts, the effects of language intensity and circumstances each depend on the other. During exigent economic times, people consider a presidential candidate to have more presidentiality and trustworthiness when using high‐ instead of low‐intensity language. And during stable economic times, people consider a presidential candidate to have more presidentiality and trustworthiness when using low‐ instead of high‐intensity language.

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Section: Operationalizing the Conceptual Factorsmentioning

confidence: 99%

When Does a Presidential Candidate Seem Presidential and Trustworthy? Campaign Messages Through the Lens of Language Expectancy Theory

Clementson¹,

Pascual‐Ferrá²,

Beatty³

2016

Pres Stud Q

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show abstract

“…Although yet not as widely used as in natural systems, efforts to apply EWS to social systems are increasing (Scheffer, 2009;Haldane and May, 2011;Neuman et al, 2011;Saavedra et al, 2011; Kuehn et al, 2013;Moat et al, 2013;Barrett and Dannenberg, 2014;Kallus, 2014, ch. 12).…”

Section: Ews For Societal Tipping Points?mentioning

confidence: 99%

Social tipping points and Earth systems dynamics

Bentley

Maddison

Ranner

et al. 2014

Front. Environ. Sci.

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Recently, Early Warning Signals (EWS) have been developed to predict tipping points in Earth Systems. This discussion highlights the potential to apply EWS to human social and economic systems, which may also undergo similar critical transitions. Social tipping points are particularly difficult to predict, however, and the current formulation of EWS, based on a physical system analogy, may be insufficient. As an alternative set of EWS for social systems, we join with other authors encouraging a focus on heterogeneity, connectivity through social networks and individual thresholds to change.

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“…Recently, many studies have proposed that certain impending critical transitions can in principle be identified through generic signs called the early-warning signals (EWSs) regardless of their underlying details [11][12][13]. Most of the proposed EWSs are based on the increasing trend of some summary statistics, such as the rising of variance [14][15][16], autocorrelation coefficient at lag-one [R (1)] [17,18], skewness [14,19], and the Pearson correlation coefficient (ρ) [20,21]. The idea behind previous theory is that critical transitions correspond to dynamical bifurcations, especially the fold bifurcation (or saddle-node bifurcation).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Early-warning signals of critical transition: Effect of extrinsic noise

Qin

Tang

2018

Phys. Rev. E

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Complex dynamical systems often have tipping points and exhibit catastrophic regime shift. Despite the notorious difficulty of predicting such transitions, accumulating studies have suggested the existence of generic early-warning signals (EWSs) preceding upcoming transitions. However, previous theories and models were based on the effect of the intrinsic noise (IN) when a system is approaching a critical point, and did not consider the pervasive environmental fluctuations or the extrinsic noise (EN). Here, we extend previous theory to investigate how the interplay of EN and IN affects EWSs. Stochastic simulations of model systems subject to both IN and EN have verified our theory and demonstrated that EN can dramatically alter and diminish the EWS. This effect is stronger with increasing amplitude and correlation time scale of the EN. In the presence of EN, the EWS can fail to predict or even give a false alarm of critical transitions.

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Buzzwords on their way to a tipping‐point: A view from the blogosphere

Cited by 22 publications

References 10 publications

When Does a Presidential Candidate Seem Presidential and Trustworthy? Campaign Messages Through the Lens of Language Expectancy Theory

When Does a Presidential Candidate Seem Presidential and Trustworthy? Campaign Messages Through the Lens of Language Expectancy Theory

Social tipping points and Earth systems dynamics

Early-warning signals of critical transition: Effect of extrinsic noise

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