2016
DOI: 10.1093/annonc/mdw006
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CA19-9 decrease at 8 weeks as a predictor of overall survival in a randomized phase III trial (MPACT) of weekly nab-paclitaxel plus gemcitabine versus gemcitabine alone in patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer

Abstract: Any CA19-9 decline at week 8 and radiologic response by week 8 each predicted longer OS in both treatment arms. In the nab-P + Gem arm, the higher proportion of patients with week 8 CA19-9 decrease [82% (206/252); median OS 13.2 months] than a RECIST-defined response [16% (40/252); median OS 13.7 months] suggests that CA19-9 decline is a predictor of OS applicable to a larger population.

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Cited by 90 publications
(75 citation statements)
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“…Our data match the findings of previous studies [11,12,13,17] that suggested an association between an early CA19-9 decrease and survival. Ziske et al [12] have reported that a decrease >20% in CA19-9 level during chemotherapy was associated with a longer survival when compared to those with a CA19-9 decrease <20% (383 days vs. 61 days; p = 0.002).…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 92%
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“…Our data match the findings of previous studies [11,12,13,17] that suggested an association between an early CA19-9 decrease and survival. Ziske et al [12] have reported that a decrease >20% in CA19-9 level during chemotherapy was associated with a longer survival when compared to those with a CA19-9 decrease <20% (383 days vs. 61 days; p = 0.002).…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 92%
“…Despite many attempts, the cutoff of CA19-9 decrease associated with a significant response to chemotherapy has never been established. Our analysis, as others, chose a cutoff of 20% [11,12,13]. Other groups showed an improvement of OS with a cutoff of 15, 25, 50, 75, or 90% [10,15,16,17].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 97%
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“…OS was associated with a decrease in CA 19-9 levels (HR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.36-0.78; P=.001). 56 The most common grade 3 or higher adverse events attributable to albumin-bound paclitaxel were neutropenia, fatigue, and neuropathy. Development of peripheral neuropathy was associated with longer treatment duration and greater treatment efficacy.…”
Section: -53mentioning
confidence: 99%