Carbon budget of managed forests in the Russian Federation in 1990–2050: Post-evaluation and forecasting

Zamolodchikov, D. G.; Grabovskii, V. I.; Korovin, G. N.; Гитарский, М. Л.; Blinov, V. G.; Dmitriev, Vasiliy; Kurz, Werner A.

doi:10.3103/s1068373913100087

Cited by 18 publications

(11 citation statements)

References 6 publications

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“…There are risks of a further serious decrease in the absorbing capacity of Russian forests. Given the current scale of logging and the level of fire protection, as well as taking into account the increase in forest age, the level of annual carbon accumulation in Russian forests will halve by the mid-2030s [2]. Third, the Paris Agreement involves the principle of increasing ambition, which means a gradual lowering the GHG limiting cap.…”

Section: Overviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Low-carbon development strategy of Russia considering the impact on the economy

Kolpakov

2020

E3S Web Conf.

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The article considers the impact of national climate policy on the development of the Russian economy and energy sector. Implementation of an aggressive scenario (which is aimed at containing at any cost the rise in global temperature within 1.5 °C compared to the pre-industrial era) is unacceptable to Russia from socioeconomic perspective given it leads to lowering the average annual GDP growth rate by 1.8 percentage points by 2050. Effective long-term development strategy with low GHG emissions level should focus on structural and technological modernization of the economy; improve the absorption potential of the LULUCF sector; stimulate only those structural changes in the energy sector that involve production and technological chains within the country and do not provide for excessive price growth. Russia retains a significant potential for energy efficiency growth, and the necessary condition for activating this process is sustainable economic growth as it involves modernization of the production facilities and using available and competitive industrial capacities. The implementation of a reasonable scenario, based on these principles, would allow Russia to fulfil the nationally determined contributions within the Paris Agreement while ensuring economic growth at the rate not less than the global average one.

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Section: Overviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Low-carbon development strategy of Russia considering the impact on the economy

Kolpakov

2020

E3S Web Conf.

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“…5 legally binding formal statement of principles for global consensus on the management, conservation and sustainable development of all types of forests." 6 In 1997, the UN established the Intergovernmental Forum on Forests (IFF), which did not solve the problems of the UN Forest Convention. In 2000, the United Nations Forum on Forests (UNFF) was formed by the United Nations Economic and Social Council (ECOSOC) to promote "the management, conservation and sustainable development of all types of forests and to strengthen long-term political commitment to this goal."…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climatic Aspects of Ecological and Legal Protection of Forests in the Russian Federation

Егорова

Жаворонкова

Shpakovsky

et al. 2022

KULR

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The purpose of the article is to research the legal issues of forest protection in the Russian Federation in the context of global climate change taking into account international obligations under the Paris Agreement 2015 and the Glasgow Leaders’ Declaration on Forests and Land Use 2021. The sources of the research are legislative and other regulatory legal acts in the field of forestry relations, environmental and natural resource law, etc.The research methodology is based on scientific methods such as dialectical, logical, predictive, systems analysis, content analysis, as well as private scientific methods, such as statistical, technical and legal, comparative legal.

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“…Therefore, CBM-CFS3 represents efficiency, reliability, and convenience in simulating forest C dynamics, which contribute to its broad application. Hitherto, CBM-CFS3 has been applied in many countries in the Northern Hemisphere, including Canada [ 11 , 24 , 25 ], Italy [ 13 ], South Korea [ 20 ], Mexico [ 26 ], Russia [ 27 ], and Slovenia [ 28 ]. Additionally, CBM-CFS3 has also been parameterised and employed in forest C dynamics simulations for most European Union countries [ 29 , 30 ].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Spatiotemporal dynamics of forest ecosystem carbon budget in Guizhou: customisation and application of the CBM-CFS3 model for China

Tang

Shao

Shi

et al. 2022

Carbon Balance Manage

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Background Countries seeking to mitigate climate change through forests require suitable modelling approaches to predict carbon (C) budget dynamics in forests and their responses to disturbance and management. The Carbon Budget Model of the Canadian Forest Sector (CBM-CFS3) is a feasible and comprehensive tool for simulating forest C stock dynamics across broad levels, but discrepancies remain to be addressed in China. Taking Guizhou as the case study, we customised the CBM-CFS3 model according to China’s context, including the modification of aboveground biomass C stock algorithm, addition of C budget accounting for bamboo forests, economic forests, and shrub forests, improvement of non-forest land belowground slow dead organic matter (DOM) pool initialisation, and other model settings. Results The adequate linear relationship between the estimated and measured C densities (R2 = 0.967, P < 0.0001, slope = 0.904) in the model validation demonstrated the high accuracy and reliability of our customised model. We further simulated the spatiotemporal dynamics of forest C stocks and disturbance impacts in Guizhou for the period 1990–2016 using our customised model. Results shows that the total ecosystem C stock and C density, and C stocks in biomass, litter, dead wood, and soil in Guizhou increased continuously and significantly, while the soil C density decreased over the whole period, which could be attributed to deforestation history and climate change. The total ecosystem C stock increased from 1220 Tg C in 1990 to 1684 Tg C in 2016 at a rate of 18 Tg C yr−1, with significant enhancement in most areas, especially in the south and northwest. The total decrease in ecosystem C stock and C expenditure caused by disturbances reached 97.6 Tg C and 120.9 Tg C, respectively, but both represented significant decreasing trends owing to the decline of disturbed forest area during 1990–2016. Regeneration logging, deforestation for agriculture, and harvest logging caused the largest C stock decrease and C expenditure, while afforestation and natural expansion of forest contributed the largest increases in C stock. Conclusions The forests in Guizhou were a net carbon sink under large-scale afforestation throughout the study period; Our customised CBM-CFS3 model can serve as a more effective and accurate method for estimating forest C stock and disturbance impacts in China and further enlightens model customisation to other areas.

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Carbon budget of managed forests in the Russian Federation in 1990–2050: Post-evaluation and forecasting

Cited by 18 publications

References 6 publications

Low-carbon development strategy of Russia considering the impact on the economy

Low-carbon development strategy of Russia considering the impact on the economy

Climatic Aspects of Ecological and Legal Protection of Forests in the Russian Federation

Spatiotemporal dynamics of forest ecosystem carbon budget in Guizhou: customisation and application of the CBM-CFS3 model for China

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