Abstract-In the present study we hypothesized that arterial catecholamine concentrations during rest and 2 laboratory stress tests were independent predictors of blood pressure at an 18-year follow-up. At entry, blood pressure, heart rate, and arterial plasma epinephrine and norepinephrine concentrations were measured in 99 healthy men (age: 19.3Ϯ0.4 years, meanϮSD) at rest, during a mental arithmetic test, and during a cold pressor test. After 18.0Ϯ0.9 years of follow-up, resting blood pressure was measured. The norepinephrine and epinephrine concentrations during the mental arithmetic explained 12.7% of the variation of future systolic blood pressure after adjusting for initial resting blood pressure, family history, body mass index, and systolic blood pressure during the stress test in a multiple regression analysis (adjusted R 2 ϭ0.651; PϽ0.001). To conclude, the present study shows that sympathetic nervous activity during mental arithmetic predicts future blood pressure, indicating a possible causal factor in the development of essential hypertension independent of the initial blood pressure. (Hypertension. 2008;52:336-341.)Key Words: blood pressure Ⅲ stress reactivity Ⅲ catecholamines Ⅲ cold pressor test Ⅲ epinephrine Ⅲ mental stress Ⅲ norepinephrine H ypertension and other cardiovascular diseases develop slowly over decades, and although the disease process starts early, clinical manifestations do not usually appear until late middle age. Interestingly, the classical risk factors, like family history, obesity, smoking, diabetes, and hypercholesterolemia, are able to predict only Ϸ50% of future cardiovascular diseases. 1 Thus, much effort has been made to identify other risk factors, and increased reactivity to stress is believed to be one of them.Although previous prospective studies on reactivity as a predictor of future hypertension have given conflicting results, 1 studies with a follow-up of Ͼ5 years tend to show a strong association between cardiovascular hyperreactivity and future hypertension. [2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9] This supports the reactivity hypothesis, which states that exaggerated physical or psychological responses to stress identify subgroups with increased cardiovascular risk. 10