Cascading loss and loss risk multipliers amid a changing climate in the Pacific Islands

Westoby, Ross; Clissold, Rachel; McNamara, Karen E.; Latai‐Niusulu, Anita; Chandra, Alvin

doi:10.1007/s13280-021-01640-9

Cited by 14 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 37 publications

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“…Otherwise, successful adaptation will not occur. It appears from published research that this is unfortunately not yet happening with formally facilitated relocation within PICs for communities facing climate change [64][65][66][67] . The third stage is to engage in anticipatory practice for restorative justice to practically transform SES through politicisation and mobilisation, to get dirty on the ground with the community, doing whatever needs to be done, so whatever is possible is given the best chance to emerge.…”

Section: Personal Learning In Communionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Postcolonial lessons and migration from climate change: ongoing injustice and hope

Morrison,

Nand,

Ali

et al. 2023

npj Clim. Action

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The 2022 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reported that the ongoing impacts of colonisation compromise the ability of many peoples to adapt to the effects of climate change. The interaction between climate justice and postcolonial justice raises many important questions about the interconnectedness and common causes of coloniality and anthropogenic climate change. We recognise a dynamic interaction, and that it is a feature of necropolitics causing both coloniality and anthropogenic climate change. Through grounded experience of cultural traditions in Pacific Islands countries (PICs), and use of transdisciplinary anticipatory systems and resilience theories, we proffer conceptual models to show how IPCC scenarios can be used to assist both climate justice and postcolonial justice, but also to forewarn how IPCC scenarios can also be used to deepen injustice. There are strident expressions within PICs to proactively engage in restorative climate justice. Our conceptual models summarise this as an emerging multi-scalar process, which we term tri-SSM. We argue tri-SSM is a hopeful regenerative kernel empowering vulnerable communities, including their proactive use of migration.

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Section: Personal Learning In Communionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Postcolonial lessons and migration from climate change: ongoing injustice and hope

Morrison,

Nand,

Ali

et al. 2023

npj Clim. Action

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“…A shift from subsistence to commercial farming may not always be the sole driver of agro-biodiversity loss; pervasive land use, reduced social resilience, declining interest in farming, flawed policies and climate change impacts are other prominent risk multipliers [26]. The loss of biodiversity and ecosystem services is intricately linked, and has cascading effects on livelihoods, social resilience, and cultural heritage [27].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Adapting to Social–Ecological Risks to the Conservation of a Muskmelon Landrace in India

Singh

Kumar

et al. 2022

Sustainability

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Crop landraces are vanishing alarmingly worldwide, posing serious risks to the livelihoods of the resource-poor farmers; this study, conducted using ‘vulnerability’ and ‘resilience theory’ frameworks, sought to delineate social–ecological, climatic and policy hindrances to the conservation of a muskmelon landrace ‘Jaunpuri Netted’ traditionally grown in eastern Uttar Pradesh, India. Our results showed that the blue bull menace, market constraints and erratic rainfall have gradually emerged as severe stresses to the conservation of this muskmelon landrace. Yet, a set of enablers including relative ease in crop management, pleasant fruit taste, perceived livelihood opportunities and the cultural legacy seem to offset these stresses, at least partly, keeping the farmers engaged in muskmelon cultivation. The Tobid regression analysis revealed that educated farmers with large landholdings were likely to grow muskmelon on relatively small acreages, and that market constraints, blue bull menace and erratic rainfall are the major future risks to the muskmelon-based livelihoods. A growing obsession with higher fruit yields has led to the virtual eclipse of traditional crop management practices, further enhancing the vulnerability of muskmelon growers. Addressing these challenges requires some major changes to the ways in which the muskmelon crop is managed and traded. While muskmelon growers need to revisit the present chemical-intensive practices, adequate research and policy support remain requisite to unveiling the unique nutraceutical properties of this muskmelon landrace, promoting organic farming, reviving seed-based business opportunities, and creating strong market linkages to enhance the livelihood resilience of the muskmelon growers.

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“…Collaborative, interdependency-focused, and qualitative methodologies have proven to be well suited to assessing climate-related impacts in places where colonialism has left Indigenous communities disproportionally vulnerable to these impacts (Dorkenoo et al, 2021). Many case studies have notably been conducted where changing conditions are already visible and therefore where the need to adapt is most urgent: the Arctic circle (Naylor et al, 2021), islands (Westoby et al, 2021), and tropical forests (Li & Ford, 2019) for example. These community-based studies found that non-climatic stressors are just as important for understanding cascading impacts as climatic stressors are (Li & Ford, 2019, p. 587).…”

Section: Accounting For Different Knowledge Systemsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Understanding Climate Change Cascading Risks: Different Visions of the Future

Becdelievre

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The impacts from climate change flow-on and propagate across interconnected human and biophysical systems. These cascading impacts pose a unique and unprecedented challenge to decision-makers responsible for planning and implementing a climate change adaptation response in a timely manner. A growing body of theoretical and practical research on climate-related cascades is now available to support decision-making for adaptation. However, little is known about how local decisions-makers perceive cascading impacts and risks and how that shapes their adaptation response. In the context of Aotearoa New Zealand national climate change response, this case study investigates how considering impacts and risks from cascades shapes the adaptation response of local government and private sector actors in Te Tauihu-Nelson Tasman, a coastal region located in the northern parts of the South Island. Three research questions were asked: (1) how do actors from local government and private sector perceive and problematise cascading impacts and how that shapes their adaptation response? (2) What local climate change adaptation narratives emerge when these actors consider cascading impacts and risks? And (3) what are the similarities and differences between local, regional, and national adaptation narratives related to cascading impacts and risks? To answer these questions, seventeen participants from local government and the private sector took part in a workshop and semi-structured interviews. A riskscape narrative framework was used to make sense of how these participants perceived cascades and their implications, responded to the risks they pose and envisioned successful adaptation. Findings first indicated that understanding cascades and their implications requires a technical and formal engagement with the concept. Second, while local government actors located in Te Tauihu-Nelson Tasman understand that adaptation to cascading impacts is a challenge needing proactive attention – particularly in raising community awareness of those risks–, the local private sector has not yet turned their mind to this challenge. Third, two common but diverging visions of adaptation co-exist at different levels of governance, somewhat in opposition: a vision of reorganisation of governance and economic systems, and a vision of de-complexification of vulnerable systems underpinned by a paradigm shift. Notable implications of these findings are: (1) communicating risks from cascades to the public and the private sector needs to be accompanied by technical information to convey the significance of those risks and motivate adequate and effective responses, and (2) adaptation to cascading impacts is a whole-of-society project that requires alignment between all actors, so further research is needed to understand how these different visions can be reconciled.

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Cascading loss and loss risk multipliers amid a changing climate in the Pacific Islands

Cited by 14 publications

References 37 publications

Postcolonial lessons and migration from climate change: ongoing injustice and hope

Postcolonial lessons and migration from climate change: ongoing injustice and hope

Adapting to Social–Ecological Risks to the Conservation of a Muskmelon Landrace in India

Understanding Climate Change Cascading Risks: Different Visions of the Future

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