Objective
The effect of a cesarean in different stages of labor on spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB) in a subsequent pregnancy has not been extensively studied. The objective of the study was to evaluate the risk of subsequent sPTB after a first stage cesarean or second stage cesarean compared to a vaginal delivery.
Study Design
This was a planned secondary analysis of a large retrospective cohort study of women with 2 consecutive deliveries from 2005–2010. Women with prior sPTB were excluded. First stage (<10cm) and second stage cesareans (≥10cm) were compared to those with a vaginal delivery. Data were obtained through chart abstraction. The primary outcome was sPTB (<37wks) in a subsequent pregnancy. Categorical variables were compared with χ2 analyses and logistic regression was used to calculate odds and control for confounders.
Results
887 women were included (721 vaginal, 129 first stage, 37 second stage cesareans). The sPTB rate varied between groups (7.8%, 2.3%, 13.5%, p=0.03), respectively. When compared to a vaginal delivery, women with a first stage cesarean had a decreased risk of sPTB which remained after adjusting for confounders (aOR 0.30 [0.09–0.99], p=0.049). There was a non-significant increase in odds of sPTB after a second stage cesarean compared to a vaginal delivery (aOR 2.4 [0.77–7.43], p=0.13). Women with a second stage cesarean had a 6 fold higher odds of sPTB as compared to women with a first stage cesarean which remained after adjusting for confounders (aOR 5.8 [1.08–30.8], p=0.04).
Conclusion
Women with a full term second stage cesarean have a significantly higher than expected rate of subsequent sPTB (13.5%) compared to both the overall national sPTB rate (7–8%) and to a first stage cesarean (2.3%). As the cesarean rate continues to rise, this potential impact on pregnancy outcomes cannot be ignored.