Circulation Journal Official Journal of the Japanese Circulation Society http://www. j-circ.or.jp statistics approximately 0.6-0.7), but this depends on the study setting and design. In one of the largest validation cohorts, 5 CHA2DS2-VASc had a c-statistic of 0.850, which outperformed the CHADS2 score (c-statistic 0.722) in predicting "high-risk" patients who developed thromboembolism; importantly, CHA2DS2-VASc was also better than CHADS2 in defining those patients at low-risk of thromboembolism. The other risk score referred to by Ikeda, the R2CHADS2 score, has many limitations that have been well recognised, notwithstanding its initial derivation from a selected trial anticoagulated cohort that did not include the range of stroke risk and excluded those with severe renal impairment. 6 Also, other "real world" studies have shown that adding extra points for "renal impairment" (as with the R2CHADS2 score) did not improve the predictive value of CHA2DS2-VASc. 7-9Nonetheless, various attempts to improve prediction of "highrisk" AF subjects using biomarkers have been proposed, but the (very) marginal improvements in c-statistics over clinical-based scores were at the cost of substantially much lower simplicity and applicability for everyday clinical practice.If Ikeda assumes that "a simple score is better," then classifying patients as "low-risk" using the CHADS2 score is simply putting many AF patients at risk of fatal and devastating strokes. In the Danish nationwide cohort study, based on >17,300 patients with a CHADS2 score=0, stroke rates were as high as 3.2% (with the upper boundary of the 95% CI as high as 6.4%) per year. 10 Would anyone reasonably withhold anticoagulation therapy for a 74-year-old female patient with AF and prior peripheral artery disease? Such a hypothetical patient would have a CHADS2 score=0 ("low risk"), but a CHA2DS2-VASc score=3 (for which anticoagulation is recommended). A comparison of CHA2DS2-VASc, CHADS2 and the van Walraven scores found that only the CHA2DS2-VASc score was a significant predictor of the absence of thromboembolism for a cohort of lone AF patients followed up over 12 years. 11If CHA2DS2-VASc is "very complicated", then Ikeda should be reassured that a recent survey of European clinical practice demonstrated uptake and use of this score in 97.7% of respondents whereas the HAS-BLED score was used by >78% for the assessment of bleeding-risk. 12 The EORP-AF survey found that anticoagulation rates were approx 80%, especially for lthough atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of stroke, this risk is not homogeneous and depends on associated stroke risk factors, which have resulted in clinical scores to aid stroke risk stratification of AF patients. When vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) were the only option for oral anticoagulation, the focus was on the identification of "high risk" patients to be targeted for (inconvenient) VKA treatment. However, the landscape of thromboprophylaxis has changed markedly with the improvements in our understanding of how to use the VKAs ...