When patients chronically infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) are placed on antiviral therapy with pegylated interferon (IFN)-␣ or IFN-␣ plus ribavirin (RBV), HCV RNA generally declines in a biphasic manner. However, a triphasic decline has been reported in a subset of patients. A triphasic decline consists of a first phase (1-2 days) with rapid virus load decline, followed by a "shoulder phase" (4-28 days) in which virus load decays slowly or remains constant, and a third phase of renewed viral decay. We show that by including the proliferation of both uninfected and infected cells, a viral kinetic model can account for a triphasic HCV RNA decay. The model predicts that a triphasic decline occurs only in patients in which a majority of hepatocytes are infected before therapy. The shoulder phase does not represent the intrinsic death rate of infected cells, but rather the third phase slope is close to the intrinsic death rate of infected cells when overall drug efficacy is close to 1. The typical HCV RNA decay during therapy with IFN-␣ alone or in combination with RBV is characterized by an initial rapid viral decline (first phase) followed by a slower decay (second phase). [9][10][11][12] In some patients, a triphasic decline has been observed in which there is a rapid initial decline in viral load, followed by a "shoulder phase" lasting 4-28 days in which HCV RNA decays slowly or remains constant, and a third phase of renewed viral decay. 12-15 For example, Herrmann et al. 12 observed triphasic declines in 8 of 10 patients treated with pegylated IFN-␣ plus RBV, in 9 of 17 patients treated with pegylated IFN-␣ alone, and in 4 of 7 patients treated with IFN-␣ plus RBV. Why some patients respond to therapy with a biphasic decline whereas others respond in a triphasic manner has not been addressed previously and is the subject of our report.
Conclusion:In patients treated with IFN-␣ plus RBV, compared with patients treated with IFN-␣ alone, RBV tends to increase the last-phase slope (i.e., the second phase slope in biphasic viral decays and the third phase slope in triphasic viral decays). 10,12 Modeling HCV RNA kinetics during therapy suggested that the increase in last-phase slope could be due to a delayed immunomodulatory effect of RBV, which increases the death rate of HCV productively infected cells after the shoulder phase. 12 In particular, in the model of Herrmann et al., 12 the slope of the "shoulder phase" in patients with triphasic viral decay represents the pretreatment death rate of infected cells and the third-phase slope represents the treatment-enhanced death rate of infected cells due to the immunomodulatory effect of RBV. Thus, to obtain a flat second phase in this model requires the assumption that the pretreatment death rate of infected cells is close to 0 and then increases due to the effect of RBV. However, we contend that a flat second phase can be obtained without assuming Abbreviation: HCV, hepatitis C virus; IFN, interferon; RBV, ribavirin.