2018
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-07049-5
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Changes in human footprint drive changes in species extinction risk

Abstract: Predicting how species respond to human pressure is essential to anticipate their decline and identify appropriate conservation strategies. Both human pressure and extinction risk change over time, but their inter-relationship is rarely considered in extinction risk modelling. Here we measure the relationship between the change in terrestrial human footprint (HFP)—representing cumulative human pressure on the environment—and the change in extinction risk of the world’s terrestrial mammals. We find the values o… Show more

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Cited by 237 publications
(240 citation statements)
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“…The humanrelated factor was the only macroecological variable included in the best models for scavenger richness. All of these factors are known to affect vertebrates (e.g., Tucker et al, 2018), to predict extinction risk (Di Marco, Venter, Possingham, & Watson, 2018), and to negatively affect particular scavenger species, at least at the local scale (e.g., Bogoni et al, 2016;Lambertucci et al, 2009). HF combines information on human population density, harvest, livestock, land use, land change, and human accessibility.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The humanrelated factor was the only macroecological variable included in the best models for scavenger richness. All of these factors are known to affect vertebrates (e.g., Tucker et al, 2018), to predict extinction risk (Di Marco, Venter, Possingham, & Watson, 2018), and to negatively affect particular scavenger species, at least at the local scale (e.g., Bogoni et al, 2016;Lambertucci et al, 2009). HF combines information on human population density, harvest, livestock, land use, land change, and human accessibility.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…There are several caveats to our analysis that should be considered when interpreting and applying the results. While we used an established threshold to define habitat degradation using the human footprint (Jones et al., ), which is in line with empirical demonstrations of human impact on terrestrial mammals globally (Di Marco, Venter, Possingham, & Watson, ), it can be still considered generic. The exact threshold for habitat degradation may vary across ecosystem types, yet the evidence base for these potential regional variations does not yet exist.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The highest species richness of the three classes investigated was found in areas of intermediate human pressure in Kenya and areas of highest human pressures across eastern Africa, similar to global patterns observed for vertebrates (Venter et al, 2016). Globally, the steepest biodiversity declines are within these areas (Di Marco et al, ), yet due to historical factors the wildlife conservation policy in Kenya (and other African countries) is focused on areas with the lowest human pressures and the highest densities of megafauna (Figures and a). Obviously, megafauna needs special protection as keystone and umbrella species (Dickman et al, ; Dirzo et al, ), and they include the first species to be lost under increasing human pressure (Smith, Smith, Lyons, & Payne, ).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The importance of Africa's PA network should not be undervalued, but it is evident that conservation practice and wildlife policy also need to incorporate LU options within the human realm (Sayer et al, 2013). Biodiversity within these human-dominated landscapes is under the greatest pressure (Di Marco, Venter, Possingham, & Watson, 2018), threatening ecosystem services and, therefore, human wellbeing (Donaldson, Wilson, & Maclean, 2017;Sayer et al, 2013). Widening the focus of conservation policy beyond PAs is essential for any country to reach global objectives such as the Aichi Biodiversity Targets and the Sustainable Development Goals (Kareiva & Marvier, 2012).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%