Changes in seasonal mortalities with improvement in home heating in England and Wales from 1964 to 1984

Keatinge, W. R.; Coleshaw, S. R. K.; Holmes, John

doi:10.1007/bf01686280

Cited by 83 publications

(50 citation statements)

References 21 publications

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“…This finding and those of the seasonal analysis indicate that cold exposure can cause rapid IHD death by inducing an increase in arterial pressure and thrombosis possibly due to haemoconcentration 11,12). Further IHD deaths can be expected secondary to respiratory diseases, since the incidence of respiratory disease increases in cold weather 7,21), and since influenza 22,23) and other respiratory infections u 24, 25) are reported to be accompanied by increased IHD mortality.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 77%

Seasonal Variation in Mortality from Ischemic Heart Disease and Cerebrovascular Disease in Okinawa and Osaka: the Possible Role of Air Temperature.

Tanaka

Shinjo

Tsukuma

et al. 2000

Journal of Epidemiology

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Okinawa is located in a subtropical area and is well-known for low mortality due to ischemic heart disease (IHD) and cerebrovascular disease (CVD). However, the factors that contribute to these low mortality rates remain unclear. We examined the seasonal variation in the mortality due to IHD and CVD among Okinawa and Osaka residents, aged 45 to 84 years, between 1992 and 1996. In addition, we studied if there was a relationship between the monthly mortality rate from IHD or CVD and the monthly mean daily air temperature in Naha City and Osaka City. Data on the monthly mean daily air temperature was obtained from the meteorological stations in Naha City and Osaka City. Our results showed that there were inverse correlations between the monthly mean daily temperature in a city and each of the monthly mortality from IHD in Okinawa (r=-0.794, p<0.01), the monthly mortality from CVD in Okinawa (r=-0.837, p<0.001), and the monthly mortality from CVD in Osaka (r=-0.954, p<0.001). In Osaka, the monthly mortality rate from IHD was at or near its minimum value when the mean daily temperature was approximately 25 (in September), and it increased in a linear fashion as the mean monthly temperature fell (r=-0.975, p<0.001). The difference between the monthly mortality from IHD or CVD among the Okinawa and the Osaka residents increased in the winter season in comparison with that in the other seasons, with the exception for IHD in July and in August. These findings indicate that the lower mortality from IHD and CVD in Okinawa is affected, at least in part, by Okinawa's warm winter.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 77%

Seasonal Variation in Mortality from Ischemic Heart Disease and Cerebrovascular Disease in Okinawa and Osaka: the Possible Role of Air Temperature.

Tanaka

Shinjo

Tsukuma

et al. 2000

Journal of Epidemiology

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“…This corroborates the findings for other countries such as Germany (Lerchl 1998), Japan (Honda 2000), Scotland (Gemmel et al 2000), and the United States (Seretakis 1997), where declines in mortality seasonality have been noted. A likely explanation for this is improvement in the nature of housing stock, the increased use and availability of home heating and improving health systems (Keatinge et al 1989, Lerchl 1997, Aylin et al 2001. As noted by Davis et al (2002) Table 6.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Relationships between the seasonality of temperature and ischaemic heart disease mortality: implications for climate based health forecasting

McGregor

Watkin²,

Cox³

2004

Clim. Res.

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ABSTRACT:The relationship between the seasonality of ischaemic heart disease (IHD) mortality and temperature is explored for the purpose of evaluating the climate-based predictability of the magnitude and timing of the annual IHD mortality peak for 5 English counties. Seasonality is described by the amplitude (magnitude) and phase (timing) of the first harmonic of the annual cycle of IHD mortality and mean and minimum temperature. Study results reveal a positive association between the amplitude of the annual IHD mortality cycle and temperature seasonality such that years with an exaggerated mortality peak are associated with years characterised by strong temperature seasonality. Overall, the timing of the annual mortality peak is positively associated with the timing of the lowest temperatures. Such findings provide some optimism for exploring the development of experimental climate-based health-forecasting models. This is because the simple climate-seasonality diagnostics presented here provide a fundamental source of predictability of the magnitude and timing of the annual IHD mortality peak.KEY WORDS: Climate and mortality seasonality · Climate-based health forecasting · Seasonal prediction · Ischaemic heart disease mortality Resale or republication not permitted without written consent of the publisher

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“…The Netherlands and Brisbane, Australia, mortality rates rise linearly with decreasing wintertime temperature (6,16,17).…”

Section: Previous Researchmentioning

confidence: 99%

An Evaluation of Climate/Mortality Relationships in Large U.S. Cities and the Possible Impacts of a Climate Change

Kalkstein¹,

Greene²

1997

Environmental Health Perspectives

123

154

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Changes in seasonal mortalities with improvement in home heating in England and Wales from 1964 to 1984

Cited by 83 publications

References 21 publications

Seasonal Variation in Mortality from Ischemic Heart Disease and Cerebrovascular Disease in Okinawa and Osaka: the Possible Role of Air Temperature.

Seasonal Variation in Mortality from Ischemic Heart Disease and Cerebrovascular Disease in Okinawa and Osaka: the Possible Role of Air Temperature.

Relationships between the seasonality of temperature and ischaemic heart disease mortality: implications for climate based health forecasting

An Evaluation of Climate/Mortality Relationships in Large U.S. Cities and the Possible Impacts of a Climate Change

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