2015
DOI: 10.1098/rsbl.2015.0480
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Changes in the background losses of woody plant foliage to insects during the past 60 years: are the predictions fulfilled?

Abstract: The existing scenarios generally predict that herbivory will increase with climate warming. An analysis of the published data on the background foliar losses of woody plants to insects in natural ecosystems across the globe from 1952 to 2013 provided no support for this hypothesis. We detected no temporal trend in herbivory within the temperate climate zone and a significant decrease in herbivory in the tropics. From 1964 to 1990, herbivory in the tropics was 39% higher than in the temperate region, but these … Show more

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Cited by 15 publications
(9 citation statements)
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“…This result is consistent with the absence of positive effects of climate warming on willow‐ and birch‐feeding insects in the Kola Peninsula (Kozlov et al., ; Zvereva et al., ). It is also consistent with the general absence of changes in foliar losses of temperate woody plants to insects in natural ecosystems between 1952 and 2013 (Kozlov & Zvereva, ).…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 86%
“…This result is consistent with the absence of positive effects of climate warming on willow‐ and birch‐feeding insects in the Kola Peninsula (Kozlov et al., ; Zvereva et al., ). It is also consistent with the general absence of changes in foliar losses of temperate woody plants to insects in natural ecosystems between 1952 and 2013 (Kozlov & Zvereva, ).…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 86%
“…Invertebrate ecophysiology strongly depends on temperature, so even moderate increases in temperature have the potential to alter the duration of the life cycles (or parts of them) of invertebrate herbivores, increase their densities and activity (Asmus et al 2018), or alter their distribution ranges or those of their competitors (Hodkinson and Bird 1998;Bale et al 2002;Bolduc et al 2013). For example, higher summer temperatures can increase the intensity of herbivory (Birkemoe et al 2016), create phenological mismatches between specialist herbivores and plant species (Kharouba et al 2015) or alternatively, induce stronger phenological matches between plants and herbivores (Jepsen et al 2011;Pureswaran et al 2019), and/or alter herbivore feeding choices (Barrio et al 2016a), although these patterns are far from being general in either space or time (Kozlov and Zvereva 2015;Zvereva et al 2016;. Moreover, changes in precipitation could affect the amount of damage caused by invertebrate herbivores indirectly, through their influence on leaf traits, such as leaf toughness (based on the structural materials that make up the leaf) or leaf chemistry.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This latitudinal pattern, along with data on among‐year variation in herbivory in subarctic to southern taiga forests (Kozlov, van Nieukerken, Zverev, & Zvereva, ; Kozlov, Stekolshchikov, et al., ), suggests that climate warming will result in a stronger relative increase in plant losses to insects at higher latitudes than at lower latitudes. On the other hand, climate warming may impose adverse effects on herbivory in the tropics (Kozlov & Zvereva, ). Therefore, we may expect that the effects of urbanization, in particular those associated with temperature elevation in urban areas, on insect herbivory will depend on geographical position of the city (Diamond, Dunn, Frank, Haddad, & Martin, ).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%