Abstract. The genetic variability underlying many morphological and stress resistance traits may largely depend on the effects of genetic drift balanced by polygenic mutation. This model of adaptive potential has played a central role in the minimum viable population size concept and has been used to predict the effective population size necessary to prevent extinction within changing environments. However, there have been few long-term experimental studies of adaptive potential within isolated populations, and no study has thus far provided an experimental test of the driftmutation model of quantitative genetic variation. Using the sternopleural bristle number of Drosophila melanogaster as a model quantitative trait, we performed repeated measurements of adaptive potential on 15 replicate populations of two and 10 male-female pairs over 30 and 77 generations, respectively. Declines in adaptive potential were analyzed by comparing observed and expected changes in realized heritability over time. The only significant model deviation occurred immediately after bottlenecks of two pairs, in which greater than expected declines in realized heritability were observed. This result suggests that changes in allelic diversity during bottleneck events may be as important as changes in heterozygosity in determining adaptive potential. Drift-mutation model expectations were otherwise realized over all generations. Our results validate the use of the drift-mutation model as a tool for understanding the dynamics of adaptive potential for peripheral fitness characters, but suggest caution in applying this model to recently bottlenecked populations.Key words. Drift, genetic variation, heritability, heterozygosity, inbreeding, selection. The potential for populations to undergo short-term adaptive change depends upon the extent of genetic variability present among individuals (Fisher 1930). Processes affecting genetic variability within populations are therefore of special interest to the study of evolution and the preservation of endangered species (Lynch 1996;Hill 2000;Frankham et al. 2002). In isolated populations of small size, the amount of variation lost by genetic drift is much greater than that regenerated by polygenic mutation. As a consequence, small populations may lack the genetic variation required to respond adaptively to environmental selection pressures, which may elevate the extinction risk of such populations (Geber and Dawson 1993;Hoffman and Blows 1993;Lynch and Lande 1993;Burger and Lynch 1995). The development of theoretical models has thus been pursued with the aim of predicting changes in genetic variability and adaptive potential within small populations (Clayton and Robertson 1955;Lande 1976;Lynch and Hill 1986). These approaches have been useful for estimating the effective population size necessary to maintain high levels of adaptive potential (i.e., additive genetic variation; Franklin 1980; Lande and Barrowclough 1987;Franklin and Frankham 1998). To maintain adaptive potential within a population, th...