2007
DOI: 10.1016/j.rfe.2007.08.001
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Changes in the risk structure of stock returns: Consumer Confidence and the dotcom bubble

Abstract: • This is a working paper. AbstractChanges in the risk structure of stock returns may sometimes be very revealing.We examine economic variables that help explain principal components in UK Consumer Confidence variable in a pre-bubble period only. We observe apparently systematic changes in the structure of risk, and conjecture that Consumer Confidence captures a change in market sentiment that could be a signal for the evolution of stock prices.

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Cited by 6 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“…The first racial crisis occurred on May 13th in 1969 which had slow down the private investments and consequently the economic growth in 1971e1972 (Kean, 1986). Other social risks reflected in Malaysian stock market include the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome "SARS" (Ali et al, 2010), panic due to terrorism effects (Drakos, 2010;Ramiah, 2012), poor consumer confidence during bubbles (Leger & Leone, 2008), herding contagion during the financial crisis (Khan & Park, 2009) and believe on unlucky numbers (Auer & Rottmann, 2014). All of these factors have psychological connections to investors' sentiment, emotion, and mood that will directly determine their trading strategies.…”
Section: Malaysian Stock Market Performancementioning
confidence: 99%
“…The first racial crisis occurred on May 13th in 1969 which had slow down the private investments and consequently the economic growth in 1971e1972 (Kean, 1986). Other social risks reflected in Malaysian stock market include the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome "SARS" (Ali et al, 2010), panic due to terrorism effects (Drakos, 2010;Ramiah, 2012), poor consumer confidence during bubbles (Leger & Leone, 2008), herding contagion during the financial crisis (Khan & Park, 2009) and believe on unlucky numbers (Auer & Rottmann, 2014). All of these factors have psychological connections to investors' sentiment, emotion, and mood that will directly determine their trading strategies.…”
Section: Malaysian Stock Market Performancementioning
confidence: 99%
“…At the same time, countries have begun to adopt stricter Internet governance policies, such as the Sarbanes-Oxley Act in the U.S. (Goodnight & Green, 2010) and the Decision on Maintaining Internet Security in China. The implementation of these policies has increased GEPU in 2001:M6-2001:M8, and also changed consumer and investor confidence in stock markets (Leger & Leone, 2008), which has increased the demand for other assets, such as housing and gold. The rise in the price of gold means that it can be used as a hedge under the uncertainty of dot-com bubble.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Also, Meric, Leal, Ratner, & Meric (2001) examined the possibilities of international portfolio diversification through investment in the principal capital markets from Latin America. Leger and Leone (2008) analysed the economic variables which could help to explain the principal components in UK stock returns.…”
Section: The Applications Of Multidimensional Data Analysis Techniquesmentioning
confidence: 99%