Changing climate patterns risk the spread of Varroa destructor infestation of African honey bees in Tanzania

Abstract

Background Climate change creates opportune conditions that favour the spread of pests and diseases outside their known active range. Modelling climate change scenarios is oftentimes useful tool to assess the climate analogues to unveil the potential risk of spreading suitability conditions for pests and diseases and hence allows development of appropriate responses to address the impending challenge. In the current study, we modelled the impact of climate change on the distribution of Varroa destructor, a parasitic mite that attacks all life forms of honey bees and remains a significant threat to their survival and productivity of bee products in Tanzania and elsewhere. Methods The data about the presence of V. destructor were collected in eight regions of Tanzania selected in consideration of several factors including potentials for beekeeping activities, elevation (highlands vs. lowlands) and differences in climatic conditions. A total of 19 bioclimatic datasets covering the entire country were used for developing climate scenarios of mid-century 2055 and late-century 2085 for both rcp4.5 and rcp8.5. We thereafter modelled the current and future risk distribution of V. destructor using MaxEnt. Results The results indicated a model performance of AUC = 0.85, with mean diurnal range in temperature (Bio2, 43.9%), mean temperature (Bio1, 20.6%) and mean annual rainfall (Bio12, 11.7%) as the important variables. Future risk projections indicated mixed responses of the potential risk of spreads of V. destructor, exhibiting both decrease and increases in the mid-century 2055 and late-century 2085 on different sites. Overall, there is a general decline of highly suitable areas of V. destructor in mid- and late-century across all scenarios (rcp4.5 and rcp8.5). The moderately suitable areas indicated a mixed response in mid-century with decline (under rcp4.5) and increase (under rcp8.5) and consistent increase in late century. The marginally suitable areas show a decline in mid-century and increase in late-century. Our results suggest that the climate change will continue to significantly affect the distribution and risks spread of V. destructor in Tanzania. The suitability range of V. destructor will shift where highly suitable areas will be diminishing to the advantage of the honey bees’ populations, but increase of moderately suitable sites indicates an expansion to new areas. The late century projections show the increased risks due to surge in the moderate and marginal suitability which means expansion in the areas where V. destructor will operate. Conclusion The current and predicted areas of habitat suitability for V. destructor’s host provides information useful for beekeeping stakeholders in Tanzania to consider the impending risks and allow adequate interventions to address challenges facing honey bees and the beekeeping industry. We recommend further studies on understanding the severity of V. destructor in health and stability of the honey bees in Tanzania. This will provide a better picture on how the country will need to monitor and reduce the risks associated with the increase of V. destructor activities as triggered by climate change. The loss of honey bees’ colonies and its subsequent impact in bees’ products production and pollination effect have both ecological and economic implications that need to have prioritization by the stakeholders in the country to address the challenge of spreading V. destructor.

European beewolf (Philanthus triangulum) will expand its geographic range as a result of climate warming

“…The species has also become more frequently found in city centers (Burger 2007). Our study, predicting range expansion of European beewolf, is in line with studies predicting range expansion of other honeybee pests (Cornelissen et al 2019;Giliba et al 2020). Together with models predicting the decline of suitable niche for bee species (Potts et al 2010;Goulson et al 2015;Imbach et al 2017), climate change can therefore adversely affect both future global bee diversity and the beekeeping industry.…”

Insights into varroa mite (Varroa destructor) infestation levels in local honeybee (Apis mellifera) colonies of Ethiopia

“…Such spatial variability in climatic factors, between regions and even between seasons, can create opportunities for the spread of different pests and pathogens beyond their ecological niches if not regularly monitored. Earlier studies have shown that changes in climate patterns and geographical variation have significantly impacted the distribution of V. destructor for the past 10 years in honey bee colonies of East Africa (Chemurot et al, 2016; Giliba et al, 2020; Muli et al, 2014). Particularly, Giliba et al (2020) demonstrated that changing climate patterns posed a high risk to the spread of the V. destructor mite in Tanzania.…”

“…Earlier studies have shown that changes in climate patterns and geographical variation have significantly impacted the distribution of V. destructor for the past 10 years in honey bee colonies of East Africa (Chemurot et al, 2016; Giliba et al, 2020; Muli et al, 2014). Particularly, Giliba et al (2020) demonstrated that changing climate patterns posed a high risk to the spread of the V. destructor mite in Tanzania. Likewise, the varied prevalence and infestation levels of varroa in Ethiopia appears to be associated with such climatic and ecological variations among geographic regions, while further research is required to identify suitable and non‐suitable climatic factors to predict the potential risk of the parasite in the country.…”

Arthropod Ectoparasites of Two Rodent Species Occurring in Varied Elevations on Tanzania’s Second Highest Mountain

“…For instance, the Varroa spp. (Mesostigmata mite) is a known parasite of honeybees [ 3 , 4 , 5 , 6 , 7 ]. Ectoparasites can harm hosts by feeding on their tissues and causing dermatitis, and some of them are vectors of pathogenic and life-threatening diseases.…”