2015
DOI: 10.1007/s10980-015-0223-3
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Changing habitat areas and static reserves: challenges to species protection under climate change

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Cited by 27 publications
(11 citation statements)
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“…Since conservation networks are generally designed to isolate current species distributions from existing external threats, it comes with no surprise that they would represent baseline priority areas better than future ones. This finding is in line with earlier studies that showed that current protected areas would generally not retain suitable climatic conditions for many of the species for which they were originally designated under scenarios of climate change (Araújo et al 2004;Huntley et al 2008;Hole et al 2009;Lung et al 2014;Garden et al 2015). Within Iberia the same pattern holds true: future bird priority areas display a small level of overlay with existing conservation networks owing to projected shifts in the distributions of Iberian birds as a result of climatic, land-use, vegetation and fire regimes changes (Triviño et al 2011;Araújo et al 2012;Regos et al 2016).…”
Section: Does the Effectiveness Of Iberian Conservation Network Decrsupporting
confidence: 91%
“…Since conservation networks are generally designed to isolate current species distributions from existing external threats, it comes with no surprise that they would represent baseline priority areas better than future ones. This finding is in line with earlier studies that showed that current protected areas would generally not retain suitable climatic conditions for many of the species for which they were originally designated under scenarios of climate change (Araújo et al 2004;Huntley et al 2008;Hole et al 2009;Lung et al 2014;Garden et al 2015). Within Iberia the same pattern holds true: future bird priority areas display a small level of overlay with existing conservation networks owing to projected shifts in the distributions of Iberian birds as a result of climatic, land-use, vegetation and fire regimes changes (Triviño et al 2011;Araújo et al 2012;Regos et al 2016).…”
Section: Does the Effectiveness Of Iberian Conservation Network Decrsupporting
confidence: 91%
“…Tree hollows and other microhabitats therefore may play an important role in facilitating the persistence of fauna under anthropogenic climate change by mitigating the impacts of extreme events (Shoo et al 2010, Bryant et al 2012, Scheffers et al 2014). However, the microclimatic effects created by these refuges are not considered when the impacts of future climate change on animal species are modelled (Vos et al 2008, Garden et al 2015, meaning that hollow-using species may have higher resilience to climate change than previously predicted. Therefore, similar to refugia at a larger scale (Ashcroft et al 2012, Keppel et al 2012, tree hollows may have the ability to mitigate the impacts of landscapelevel climatic changes.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Climate change will affect the distribution of species in different ways (Monzon et al., 2011; Heywood, 2012; Garden et al., 2015). In the case of plants, areas of suitable habitat may contract within or expand beyond previously occupied areas, so that some species will adapt and survive, sometimes with reduced populations, and some may expand their distributions; or the location of suitable habitat may shift out of the areas and some species will be able to migrate, tracking the changing climate, while those that are unable to adapt or migrate will suffer severe population decline and eventually become extinct or be ousted by invasive alien species.…”
Section: The Conservation Role Of Protected Areasmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Most projections of the future migrations of species are derived from bioclimatic modelling (also known as single-species bioclimatic 'envelope' models). These are a special case of ecological niche or distribution models, in which the current native range of species is related to climatic variables so as to enable projections of distributions under various future climate change scenarios (Guisan and Thuiller, 2005, Elith and Leathwick, 2009) and while considerable advances have been made in this field, it has severe technical limitations (Heikkinen et al., 2006, Pearson et al., 2006, Heywood, 2012) and is hampered by the lack of available georeferenced distribution points for many species, failure to take into account various factors other than climate, such as biotic interactions, evolutionary change and dispersal abilities, and using too coarse a scale to be ecologically meaningful for the species being studied (Hampe, 2004; Garden et al., 2015). Ehrlén and Morris (2015) make the point that a disproportionate amount of effort has focused on distribution only, either documenting historical range shifts or predicting future occurrence patterns, and they recommend that simultaneous projections of abundance and distribution across landscapes would be far more useful.…”
Section: The Conservation Role Of Protected Areasmentioning
confidence: 99%