Evaluating whether a limited sample of evidence provides a good basis for induction is a critical cognitive task. We hypothesized that whereas adults evaluate the inductive strength of samples containing multiple pieces of evidence by attending to the relations among the exemplars (e.g., sample diversity), six-year-olds would attend to the degree to which each individual exemplar in a sample independently appears informative (e.g., premise typicality). To test these hypotheses, participants were asked to select between diverse and non-diverse samples to help them learn about basic-level animal categories. Across various between-subject conditions (N = 133), we varied the typicality present in the diverse and non-diverse samples. We found that adults reliably selected to examine diverse over non-diverse samples, regardless of exemplar typicality, six-year-olds preferred to examine samples containing typical exemplars, regardless of sample diversity, and nine-year-olds were somewhat in the midst of this developmental transition.Inductive reasoning is central to human learning, as most of the knowledge we possess is acquired via inductive inferences rather than through direct instruction or observation. Thus, there has been considerable interest in understanding the basis of inductive reasoning processes throughout development. The question of how inductive reasoning skills develop relates to a major theoretical debate in the field of cognitive development regarding the relative contributions to development of knowledge enrichment and of conceptual change. Do young children generalize knowledge using the same reasoning mechanisms as adults do (sometimes arriving at different conclusions due to limitations in their knowledge base), or does young children's inductive methodology differ systematically from the adult approach (e.g., Carey, 1985;Heit, 2000;Viale & Osherson, 2002)? Within this framework, the goal of the present research was to examine developmental changes in how individuals approach a key challenge of inductive reasoning-determining whether limited evidence provides a strong sample on which to base broader generalizations.
Adults' Criteria for Evaluating SamplesAs discussed by Heit (2000), adults have different strategies for evaluating samples that contain single versus multiple pieces of evidence. For example, to evaluate whether a single bird is informative about all birds, adults usually consider how typical the given exemplar is of the category "birds," and base generalizations on typical exemplars (e.g., robins) more than atypical exemplars (e.g., penguins, Rips, 1975 Publisher's Disclaimer: This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final citable form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the co...