2019
DOI: 10.1007/s11356-018-04081-2
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China’s cement demand and CO2 emissions toward 2030: from the perspective of socioeconomic, technology and population

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Cited by 30 publications
(13 citation statements)
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“…The national average emission factor estimated in 2030 is 715.33 kg/t, a decline of 16.65% compared to that in 2015. The emissions reduction estimated by Wei et al (2019) over the period 2018-2030 (158.50 kg/t) were higher than those in the present study (142.85 kg/t), as a higher diffusion rate of raw material (~21%) and fuel substitution (~42%) in 2030 was used. In 2030, the clinker emission factors of the 13 surveyed provinces were higher than the national average level.…”
Section: Emission Reduction Potential Of Structural Adjustmentcontrasting
confidence: 78%
“…The national average emission factor estimated in 2030 is 715.33 kg/t, a decline of 16.65% compared to that in 2015. The emissions reduction estimated by Wei et al (2019) over the period 2018-2030 (158.50 kg/t) were higher than those in the present study (142.85 kg/t), as a higher diffusion rate of raw material (~21%) and fuel substitution (~42%) in 2030 was used. In 2030, the clinker emission factors of the 13 surveyed provinces were higher than the national average level.…”
Section: Emission Reduction Potential Of Structural Adjustmentcontrasting
confidence: 78%
“…Cement industry is responsible for about 7% of the global CO2 emissions and the third largest industrial energy consumers [1]. It is also responsible for about 10% of the total CO2 emissions in China [2]. China produces more than 60% of global cement, which is mainly driven by the economic, population, and urbanization growth.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Based on Building and Infrastructure Construction (BIC), Peak consumption Per capita (PCPC), and Fixed Assets Investment (FAI), respectively, Ke et al [10] predicted that the cumulative cement production in China would be 26.0 Gt, 35.9 Gt and 35.0 Gt from 2011 to 2030. Based on fixed assets investment, urbanization rate and per capita GDP, respectively, Wei et al [2] projected China's cement production would reach 2,000 Mt, 1,650 Mt and 937 Mt by 2030. Recently Hache et al [11] studied the impacts of future power generation on cement demand based on climate scenario on a global level, while Elshkaki [12] has estimated cement demand, among oter materials, required for the future electricity generation in China based on several national and international scenarios.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…In China, the cement industrial production has reached 2.4 billion tons in 2017, 125% higher than 2005, accounting for 58% of global cement output, and such situation is expected to continue in the next few decades [2]. However, cement production is a high-cost, energy-consuming, and pollution-intensive process [3][4][5]. erefore, in order to reduce the greenhouse gas emissions and achieve sustainable environmental development, it is necessary to develop alternatives to Portland cement to reduce both CO 2 emissions and energy consumption.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%