Citizen science and niche modeling to track and forecast the expansion of the brown marmorated stinkbug Halyomorpha halys (Stål, 1855)

Abstract

Halyomorpha halys (Stål, 1855), the Brown Marmorated StinkBug (BMSB) is a highly successful invasive species native to eastern Asia that managed to spread into North America and Europe in recent decades. We set up a citizen science survey to monitor BMSB expansion in France in 2012 and analyzed the data it yielded between 2012 and 2019 to examine the local expansion of the insect. These data were gathered with occurrences form various sources (GBIF, literature) to calibrate a species niche model and assess potential current BMSB range. We evaluated the potential changes to the BMSB range due to climate change by projecting the model according to 6 global circulation models (GCM) and the shared socio-economic pathways SSP245 in two time periods 2021–2040 and 2041–2060. Citizen science allowed to track BMSB expansion in France and provided information about its phenology and its habitat preferences. The model highlighted the potential for further range expansion in Europe and illustrated the impact of climate change. These results could help managing the current BMSB invasion and the framework of this survey could contribute to a better preparedness of phytosanitary authorities either for the BMSB or other invasive pests.

Flying over Eurasia: Geographic Variation of Photoperiodic Control of Nymphal Development and Adult Diapause Induction in Native and Invasive Populations of the Brown Marmorated Stink Bug, Halyomorpha halys (Hemiptera: Heteroptera: Pentatomidae)

“…Numerous studies have been devoted to modeling seasonal development, voltinism and the reproduction of H. halys , however, in most cases, the photoperiodic response was not accounted for or its parameters were considered as constant, i.e., not influenced by temperature or geographic origin of the population [ 30 , 31 , 32 , 33 , 34 , 35 , 36 ]. Moreover, geographic variability of the photoperiodic response was not included in the distribution models developed to predict the potential geographic range of H. halys and its response to climate change [ 37 , 38 , 39 , 40 , 41 , 42 ]. However, the available data on H. halys , as well as numerous studies of other insect species, suggest that the parameters of the photoperiodic response of the brown marmorated stink bug may vary both in space (the difference between geographic populations) and time (the gradual adaptation of recently established invasive populations to the local environment) [ 17 , 18 , 43 ].…”

The King’s Lace Bug Recaredus rex Distant, 1909 (Hemiptera: Heteroptera: Tingidae): Systematic Position, First Palaearctic and Afrotropical Records, and Ecological Niche Modelling

“…In true bugs (Hemiptera: Heteroptera), ENM has also been used, but not so often. This method was applied several times to invasive alien species [ 17 , 18 , 19 , 20 , 21 ] and agricultural pests [ 22 , 23 ] and incorporated in ecological studies of various types [ 24 , 25 , 26 , 27 , 28 , 29 , 30 , 31 ].…”

First occurrence of <i>Halyomorpha halys</i> in Bordeaux vineyards

“…However, according to observations, the population is currently relatively low. The pest was recently introduced in France and its population is quickly increasing across the country (Streito et al, 2021), raising concerns to farmers.…”