Citriculture Economic and Financial Evaluation Under Conditions of Uncertainty

Simões, Danilo; Cabral, Amílcar; Oliveira, Paulo André de

doi:10.1590/0100-2945-257/14

Cited by 8 publications

(18 citation statements)

References 22 publications

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“…Five risks (in decreasing order of importance) showed up clearly from the results (Table 2): climatic events, sale prices, yield, amount to market and variability in currency exchange rate. The ranking of sources of risk in decreasing order shows that, as suggested by the most recent literature, the growers consider the climatic events as the most important source of risk (MARTIN, 1996;GREINER et al, 2008;KUNDZEWICZ;OLESEN et al, 2011;SMRKULJ;NJAVRO, 2016;SULEWSKI;KŁOCZKO-GAJEWSKA, 2014). The sources of risk that the growers perceive as the most important ones are also consistent with the international experience.…”

Section: Perception Of Sources Of Risksupporting

confidence: 78%

“…The biological and climatic nature of the agricultural production implies that the growers operate in an environment of greater risk and uncertainty than other economic activities (AĞIR et al, 2015;ULLAH et al, 2015a). This could compromise economic viability of the crops (SIMÕES et al, 2015). In fact, according to ULLAH et al (2015b), weather is an important production factor in agriculture and this production factor can hardly be controlled.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Perception of risk sources by chilean blueberry producers

et al. 2018

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The biological and environmental nature of the agricultural production implies that growers operate in an environment of greater risk as compared to other economic activities. This has implications on the manner in which the growers can manage the risks inherent to their activity, which depends on how they perceive the risks and on the degree of aversion to risk. The main objective of this study was to learn about the perception of the main sources of risk that blueberry growers face in the Maule Region, Chile. This Region has about 25% of the planted area of this species in Chile. We used information from questionnaires implemented in 124 fields which considered two independent groups of growers: 48 owners and 76 managers. A scale of Importance of the Sources of Risk (ISR) was used. It included 13 items that the interviewed had to rank according to their importance through a Likert-type scale of four levels. The exploratory analysis allowed to infer that the ISR scale had adequate levels of internal consistency (Cronbach´s alpha = 0.83). The results showed that the climatic events are perceived by the growers as the main source of risk for blueberry production in Chile. The analysis also showed that the price of the product and the currency exchange rate are the next risks in importance for the field owners. On the other hand, the risks for the managers were, in decreasing order of importance: yield, product price, variability in sales, and volumes for sale. The knowledge of the perception of risk by the growers is a fundamental input for designing instruments of agricultural policies, risk management and support programs for the growers.

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Section: Perception Of Sources Of Risksupporting

confidence: 78%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Perception of risk sources by chilean blueberry producers

et al. 2018

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“…Furthermore, phenological data can also be used to help predict interannual changes in tree phenology (PETRI et al, 2008). Thus, knowledge of the timing of phenological events and their variability can help producers obtain more stable crop yields and quality, thereby reducing environmental risks (GARIGLIO et al, 2012;SIMÕES et al, 2015).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

FACTORS AFFECTING PHENOLOGY OF DIFFERENT Citrus VARIETIES UNDER THE TEMPERATE CLIMATE CONDITIONS OF SANTA FE, ARGENTINA

et al. 2018

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The aim of this study was to characterize the phenology of different sweet orange, tangerines and tangerine hybrid varieties growing under the temperate climate conditions of Santa Fe Province, Argentina. Phenological stages were observed weekly during five consecutive years using a BBCH (Biologische Bundesanstalt, Bundessortenamt and Chemical industry) scale adapted for Citrus trees. All varieties showed a winter rest period from June to August. ‘New Hall’ and ‘Navelina’ varieties were the first to reach sprouting stage, whereas ‘Okitsu’ was the last. Inception of flowering occurred from August 13th to September 6th; and full bloom from September 12th to October 2nd. Fruit harvest started with the ‘Okitsu’ cultivar in March, and continued over a 7-month period. Interannual variation for inception of sprouting was high (44 days), and sprouting was correlated with both thermal accumulation (above 13ºC) and the amount of solar radiation measured during July (p<0.0001; r2=0.79). Navel oranges and the ‘Murcott’ hybrid bloomed 5–15 days earlier than other varieties, increasing probability of damage by late frosts.

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“…Segundo Simões et al (2015), a cultura de laranja começa a produzir, de forma crescente, no terceiro ano após o plantio. Isso implica na necessidade de investimentos para manter o pomar do primeiro ao terceiro ano e de um capital de giro médio a ser utilizado a partir do quarto ano.…”

Section: Provisões De Recursosunclassified

“…Em se tratando de custos, foram computados os mesmos desembolsos considerados por Simões et al (2015), intrínsecos à qualquer empreendimento de laranja, como despesas administrativas, salários (com encargos), herbicidas, manutenção de máquinas, combustível, etc. e que refletem o custeio da atividade.…”

Section: Receitas Custos E Lucro Operacional Do Projeto (A Partir Dounclassified

Retorno econômico da citricultura versus cultivo de grãos na região de Paranapanema - SP

Ribeiro¹,

Franco²

2017

Rev. iPecege

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Diante do atual cenário da economia brasileira, a agricultura tem se mostrado atrativa e sustentável, principalmente quando comparada a outros setores, incentivando novos investimentos no ramo. Mas, tanto para produtores tradicionais quanto para investidores iniciantes, há uma variedade enorme de culturas e sistemas de produção à disposição. Nesse contexto, a região de Paranapanema, no estado de São Paulo, é destaque na produção irrigada de grãos, e sua citricultura está em constante crescimento. Sendo assim, este trabalho buscou avaliar e comparar o retorno econômico da citricultura com a rotação de culturas irrigadas de grãos. Os parâmetros utilizados foram Valor presente líquido [VPL], Taxa interna de retorno [TIR], Valor Uniforme Líquido [VUL], Índice de Lucratividade [IL] e Payback Descontado. Para avaliação dos riscos foi utilizada avaliação estatística de números aleatórios gerados através do método de Monte Carlo. Os dados resultantes apresentaram que a cultura de laranja obteve VPL projetado de R$ 2.625.495,12, com 2,87% de probabilidade do mesmo ser negativo. Enquanto que o cultivo de grãos apresentou VPL de R$ 902.977,92, com 7,05% de chance de resultar em valor presente líquido negativo. Apesar das baixas probabilidades em obter-se VPL<0, ainda existe o risco de que os empreendimentos apresentem fluxos intermediários negativos, e que o produtor seja obrigado a recorrer a reservas de recursos ou captação por meio do crédito rural, ambas alternativas gerando impactos no resultado final. Diante do exposto, apesar de ambos os projetos serem viáveis, a citricultura demonstrou fornecer maior retorno econômico ao produtor rural.

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Citriculture Economic and Financial Evaluation Under Conditions of Uncertainty

Cited by 8 publications

References 22 publications

Perception of risk sources by chilean blueberry producers

Perception of risk sources by chilean blueberry producers

FACTORS AFFECTING PHENOLOGY OF DIFFERENT Citrus VARIETIES UNDER THE TEMPERATE CLIMATE CONDITIONS OF SANTA FE, ARGENTINA

Retorno econômico da citricultura versus cultivo de grãos na região de Paranapanema - SP

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