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For an overview of USGS information products, including maps, imagery, and publications, visit http://www.usgs.gov/pubprodTo order this and other USGS information products, visit http://store.usgs.gov Suggested citation: Block, Debra, 2014, Historical channel-planform change of the Little Colorado River near Winslow, Arizona: U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2014-5112, 24 p., 2 plates, http://dx.doi.org/10.3133/ sir20145112. ISSN 2328-0328 (online) Any use of trade, firm, or product names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the U.S. Government.Although this information product, for the most part, is in the public domain, it also may contain copyrighted materials as noted in the text. Permission to reproduce copyrighted items must be secured from the copyright owner.
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AcknowledgmentsThis study was conducted with the permission of the Navajo Nation Department of Minerals, the Navajo Nation Water Management Branch, and the Leupp and Birdsprings Chapters of the Navajo Nation. Access to the Winslow levee was granted by Trent Larson of Navajo County. The staff of Homolovi State Park graciously allowed access to the river channel adjacent to the park. Tammy Rittenour of the Utah State University's Luminescence Laboratory analyzed the optically stimulated luminescence signals from late Pleistocene terraces adjacent to the study area ( fig. 1)
AbstractThis study evaluates channel-planform adjustment on an alluvial reach of the Little Colorado River and documents the geomorphic evolution of the channel through an analysis of aerial photographs and orthophotographs for the period 1936-2010. The Little Colorado River has adjusted to the effects of an extreme flood in 1923 and a subsequent decline in peak discharge and mean annual flow by channel narrowing: the channel width and area of the river have decreased by approximately 90 percent over the study period. Although deposition historically exceeds erosion, lateral migration exacerbates localized erosion, particularly near hydraulic controls. Despite repeated cutoff and avulsion, the Little Colorado River has steadily increased in length and sinuosity over a period of 74 years.Changes in temperature and precipitation are likely affecting the discharge of the Little Colorado River near and downstream of Winslow, Ariz. Nonparametric methods of trend detection determine whether the probability distribution of temperature, precipitation, and peak streamflow has changed over time. Time-series plots of temperature and precipitation show statistically significant trends at the 99-percent-confidence level when evaluated with a Mann-Kendall test. An increasing trend was indicated in mean daily minimum air temperature (T min ), whereas decreasing trends were indicated in both annual precipitation (P ann ) and monsoon-season...